why do champion.gg winrates sometimes drop the more games you play?

Mody bird·Sep 19, 2015·1 votes·803 views

for example some champs 15-50 games played has a 50% winrate. then 50-125 it drops to 45% then 125+ it goes to 55% anyone explain this?

3 Comments

Gordo SanSep 19, 20153 votes

i don't think there is a solid reason (because it happens for "some" champions and not others).

@15-50 games

Players are getting familiar with the champ, mostly playing it safe. [This holds true for most champions in the game]

@50-125 games

This is where some variance occurs, you will notice at this stage, some champions don't drop win rates.

Players are hitting the limit of the champion.They begin to see what they can or cannot get away with depending on the champions on your team and the opposing team.

There are 126 champions in the game, so 50-125 gives you a pretty good idea.

125+ games

You have pretty much mastered this champion.

NemeBroSep 19, 20151 votes

[{quoted}](name=Mody bird,realm=NA,application-id=3ErqAdtq,discussion-id=KlapKvVc,comment-id=,timestamp=2015-09-19T15:55:55.913+0000)

for example some champs 15-50 games played has a 50% winrate. then 50-125 it drops to 45% then 125+ it goes to 55% anyone explain this?

In my experience this tends to correlate with the sample size for the champion's playerbase simply being very small.

Cinderhulk RivenSep 19, 20151 votes

It means people are over-playing niche picks, usually. Sometimes it's just a weird statistical anomally, more prominent in champs with low play rates, but if the champion is a niche pick you have success with in a few games, you might be tempted to first pick, or pick them at a bad time, later.