I Just Had My Own Personal #RedditKnowsBalance Moment, Now I Feel Like an Idiot

For the longest time now I've been complaining about ADC Kog'Maws current state, I was complaining on the boards about how terrible his build options are, how he is never going to be good unless he will get better synergies with crit, how shitty on-hit items are and therefore Kog'Maw must be shit. When the preseason hit I was ranting about him even more, I thought since the new Fervor is going to give AD instead of on-hit and because of Kog'Maws vulnerability to assassins he is going to be even more terrible and hit something below a 45% win rate.

Well . . . what ACTUALLY happened . . . http://champion.gg/champion/KogMaw/ADC

His win rate went up consistently ever since the preseason hit. There's not even any excuse that I can come up with now, I've just been talking consistent bullshit for the last few months. Even worse, I got decent amount of upvotes on some of these posts even though they've oviously been untrue and flawed.

I'm still not sure why exactly this happened, I have some theories but I'm kinda scared that I have to call out my own bullshit again in a few months because these theories turned out to be untrue aswell.

I think it has something to do with the rework of early game penetration builds on marksmen, which were super dominant in lane and most of them also are counters to Kog'Maw, like Lucian, Jhin etc. On top of that, even though the change of Fervor from on-hit to AD kind of seemed counter-intuitive at first since Kog'Maw is THE on-hit carry, the AD ratio on his ult and the fact that he builds crit in the late game made up for that, more than I expected it to. Plus, there was the recent buff to BotRK which seemed to have a decent impact on his build.

Even with all that in mind, it's still just super surprising to me just by how much his win rate rose over the last few patches.

Just goes to show that you should be as critical of yourself as you should be of others, else you are going to look like a complete fool.