percentage wise and statistically A: how possible is it to get 124 ranked wins in a row with a single champion (with no normal or other types of games played inbetween each game(s))
B: how possible is it to get a 124 win streak playing every champion A-Z
C: same as B but doesnt matter what order you play the champions in
GET CALCULATING NERDS
Onegarion1 votesA. well essentially you would take the current % win rates of one champ and take that to the 124 power. So the answer is going to depend on what champ you want.
B. Same thing as before except you take each champ and multiply their win rates.
C. Same percent chance as B.
Arcade Andrew1 votesim reffering to adding in stats of likely hood of trolls/feeders/afks and riots own faults server issues ect, and future patches, aswell as hackers possible power outages and internet issues
Onegarion2 votesand thats still those win %s. They all include every instance that you include. those numbers are obtained in each of those.
bad arcade kitty1 votesthe question makes no sense
anyway if your chance to win each game is 50% i.e. you play on your elo with a perfect match making, 124 win series it's 1/2^124 chance i.e. incredibly low so your chance wasn't 50% and probably changed since you climbed the ladder so.. it cannot be estimated
IwfiKe3qjM1 votesA: (That champion % win rate ^ 124) x 50% x 3.75% x 5% B: (Multiply each champion % win rate) x 50% x 3.7% x 5% C: same as B
50% for usual win/lose chance 3.75% for perfect chance all person in your team doesn't have any problem (31/32 chance of #wild_problem_appeared) 5% for #keep_in_faith_they_might_throw chance (and that's a minimum)
Arcade Andrew1 votesso whats the actual percent chance I would win? for each instance, I asked the math community to calculate for me :c? I am not that good at math
ofart1 votesIf your winrate is 50%, it would probably be (.5^124*100)%. Since matches get harder as you win more, it's actually a lot less likely than that.
Tavish1 votesIt could also depend on the popularity of the champion and region. If you go on a 124 game winstreak in OCE as Urgot, you might actually noticeably increase the overall win rate percentage of the champion in particular. Of course this is entirely irrelevant as the AVERAGE win rate does not correspond to an individual win rate.
You might be a god Urgot, who wins 70% of your games. I think the best solution would be to take YOUR win rate on that champ, then drop a half percent every tier or so assuming you get 20 lp per win (this is very very conservative as you will mostly likely gain more lp as this win streak is god like). So use sigma :p
Krinu1 votesChance of a streak of X = chance of X ^ number of entries in said streak.
So if you have a 50% win rate in ranked play, then the chances of you getting 124 wins in a row is 4.7 * 10^-38.
In short: Never happening.
Arcade Andrew1 votesi bet a pro can do it C:
Ice Weasel X1 votesi bet a pro can do it C:
Nope. Not even the best of the best. Not even if they use a low ranking smurf. Look up any pro's stats. They do this for a living, so they always try to win when playing ranked, and not one of them has such a streak.
Arcade Andrew1 voteswhats the highest ranked win streak somebody has ever gotten? im bronze and ive gotten up to 15 wins in a row before I lost a game
Linna Excel1 votesAssuming a 50% win rate for every game:
GET CALCULATING NERDS
10,000% chance, do it now on your main summoner GOGOGO.
Arcade Andrew1 votesalready got win number 1 C: with gnar
Krinu1 votesIt's a one in roughly four hundred and seventy undecillion chance. Assuming you can play one game every half hour and your life and sustenance needs (as well as those of your opponents) are sustained by the mystical "pro force" you will be gaming for 1.21 decillion years.
We're far beyond "the sun will have exploded" at this point. By the time you statistically will have completed your 124-game winning streak, not only will all the stars have gone out, but all the protons will have decayed into radiation, all the black holes will have evaporated, and the only things left in the universe will be low-energy radiation, a few random elementary particles, and a lot of empty space.
Well, that, and you - cheering in a dark and empty void.