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ARAMs random generator is broken.

Linna Excel·4/16/2014, 2:52:08 AM·1 votes·51 views

I have 35 champs available to me. I played 6 ARAM games today. 3 times, Sejuani came up. Including 2 games in a row. I was sick of playing her so I rerolled for Poppy on the last time.

Seeing her 2 games in a row is a 1 in 1225 chance. Now I'm not a statistician but seeing her as the result 3 times in 6 games is rather improbable.

Now, poppy is interesting for the reroll, because I tend to get her a lot as well. I was happy for the break, but objectively she's a champ I'm seeing too often.

It's bad enough I can't narrow the pool down, but for it to be streaky is worse. Especially when I never get to start a game with the champs I want to play. If you are going to keep it so that certain champs come up more often for certain people, then at least make it so we have some way to weight champs in our favor.

5 Comments

Hyrum Graff4/16/2014, 1:19:27 PM1 votes

Randomness doesn't mean unlikely scenarios will never happen, it just means they're not likely to. But they do still happen, and when they do, we tend to have the reaction of "OMG it CAN'T be random, or that never would have happened!" But it does, because randomness is not consistency.

Edit: Also, remember that after you've gotten Sej once, the chance of getting her again is the exact same as the chance of getting her in the first place. It's not like it gets less likely that you'll get Sej, just because you got her in the last game.

Linna Excel5/4/2014, 3:34:54 AM1 votes

And I just got Ryze 2 games in a row again.