just sharing some easily found out information....
sauce is op.gg
a challenger players most recent 20 games. looked for the first 3k gold lead and at what time it occurred. put a time stamp next to it.
out of 4 games which were turned around. 2 were in mid game or later. (24 minute mark game 6, 25 minute mark game 10) and two which were turned around from the early game (17 minute mark game 8 and 13 minute mark game 16).
((assuming you classify 17minutes as early game, its right on the tip, could be mid game at that point))
what this means is that leads in general give an 80% success rate at determining the outcome of the game.
in total 10 games that had a lead in the early game (under 15minutes).... (games 1,2,4,5,7,11,12,13,14,16)
had a 90% success rate. where only 1 game was turned around.
(depending on whether or not you classify the 17minute game (game 8) as early game, if included it changes the data to be out of 11 games. so an 18.18% chance to turn around an early game when the lead is in the enemies favor)
putting it all together.
this is nothing new, but if you are behind in the first 15minutes of the game, its going to be quite the struggle and you will likely have to cheese out a win by picking off the biggest baddest player on the enemy team before the fight starts in whatever way you can. or wait for the enemy team to throw at baron. thats it, those are your only hopes, coordination and scaling are myths as seen in challenger.
#you should absolutely play to win the early game
if you guys are interested i could also do a random bronze player as well for comparison.
