[{quoted}](name=The Wolf King,realm=NA,application-id=3ErqAdtq,discussion-id=yILgoOF6,comment-id=000200000000000000000000000200010000,timestamp=2018-02-20T18:00:44.026+0000)
I didn't misrepresent his argument. He finds a 75% chance of winning for a team that played early well and got early objectives and fights to be too high. Why? Why is that bad that a team that plays near perfectly shouldn't have a high chance of winning?
Because all of this can, and does happen in the first 10 minutes of the game. They also in turn end up power creeping everything to be competitive in that first 10 minutes. The reason you stalled out a game for the 40 minute mark is because you had a late game champion. Now all champs are relatively the same.
https://matchhistory.na.leagueoflegends.com/en/#match-details/NA1/2723361014/33518097?tab=overview
Closed this game out by the 8 minute mark.
https://matchhistory.na.leagueoflegends.com/en/#match-details/NA1/2723339747/33518097?tab=overview
Closed this one out before the 10.
It just took us 10 more minutes to push everything in our way down. I don't think that is something that isn't getting across. It takes 10 minutes to push everything down, so even if you are ahead enough to close out the game, it takes 10 minutes. IF games are lasting on average 23 minutes (which is what my last 20 games average at the time of this post) Games are decided by the 13 minute mark.
The game starts of at 50/50. As it goes on, the team that makes more mistakes starts losing that percentage. Unless first blood doesn't happen
Time of first blood has pretty much been decreasing every season. IT used to be difficult to die early game.
Games shouldn't be a permanent near 50/50 split chance of winning. That's what makes boring games, and that's what causes players to leave en masse. When a game is no longer entertaining.
It also isn't entertaining to get stomped so hard in the first 10 minutes with only 3 objectives that there is only a 25% chance of winning.
Just to give a few more examples
https://matchhistory.na.leagueoflegends.com/en/#match-details/NA1/2722905541/33518097?tab=overview
enemy 15 minute FF, had this one secured before the 10
https://matchhistory.na.leagueoflegends.com/en/#match-details/NA1/2722905541/33518097?tab=overview
Lets take a look at a 26 minute game...
https://matchhistory.na.leagueoflegends.com/en/#match-details/NA1/2722714412/33518097?tab=overview
Secured at the 16 minute mark...
IT TAKES 10 MINUTES TO FINISH THE ENEMY BASE, I actually somewhat enjoyed this game.
Even when the enemy has a chance of coming back because they get a really large kill the game is hard to comeback when you have to manage minion pressure, champion pressure, and teamfight.
https://matchhistory.na.leagueoflegends.com/en/#match-details/NA1/2723217574/33518097?tab=overview
This game they easily could have "comeback" with that ace... but we had that first blood, first tower, first dragon, so we were allowed to just open up the map to win. If you look we even got baron, and the game ended...