Summer 2016 - Fantasy LCS Week 2 Discussion

Nural·6/8/2016, 2:36:00 PM·7 votes·3,554 views

Hi there!

The purpose of this forum is exactly what the title describes: to help people set up their best line up possible heading into the next week of games. We've all experienced a moment where we are choosing between two players, not sure which one will have the better turn-out with regards to their current match-ups, their record, if their on a losing streak, new subs of the team, etc. This can now become a place where the fantasy community can help each other out with their rosters so that they are receiving their full potential each and every week. This can also be a place to discuss possible Add/Drop possibilities. Anyway, everyone can understand the purpose behind this forum now.

Just simply post a question about who you are deciding between, along with your reasoning's behind why you should and shouldn't start them. Then hopefully a fellow fantasy community member will be able to respond and help you make your decision. Anyone can help out! Multiple opinions and beliefs are better than just one! Remember, Strength in numbers.

Disclaimer: Human beings cannot foresee the future, everything posted on here are just calculated predictions/opinions.

Hopefully this now provides a means for all of us as a community to help each other in achieving the glorious 1st place spot in your respected leagues, along with the entitled sensation of "Bragging Rights." Best of luck to all of you! #FantasyLCS #DecisionsAreHard

Nural


Sleepers Week 2

  1. C9

Whether you classify this as a sleeper is up to you. But for anyone who has followed me in the past splits know how I have felt about C9 players in fantasy. In the past, they were AWFUL. Low kill games + smart objective trading = sad fantasy owner for both sides of the game. And with meteos coming back into the split, my doubts continued for C9 heading into the split.

But this past weekend of games was relieving to see. The C9 we saw was more of a tribute to that back in S3 in my opinion. When C9 run the engage team comp, they do not hesitate to go in. The shot calling was there, and everyone seemed to be on the same page. If there is a C9 player still available, Highly recommend you pick them up for this week.

  1. FOX

FOX's matchups this week are the sole reason as to why they are a sleeper pick this week. Im unsure whether or not a FOX member is a viable long term player on your fantasy roster, but if you're truly in a bind this week, they face a broken TL and a dis functioning NRG. Echo fox did play a great couple of series, and there play looked fairly consistent. If they perform at the level they did last week, they should come away with the W against these two teams.


** Teams To Watch**

  1. SPLYCE/ROC

I wanted to put both of these teams as a sleeper SOOO badly. But the G2 matchup is worry-some if your a fantasy owner. That being said, both of these teams came out swinging last week and both looked amazing. If you are unsure about your bench positions, consider picking up a Splyce and ROC player. There play impressed me a lot, and I would not be surprised if they become some of the top tier teams this split after what I watched last week.

  1. APEX

The only reason why I didnt put them as a sleeper this week is because of their match-ups. I believed APEX would be a sleeper coming into the split, and week 1 was only the beginning to confirming my suspicions. Granted, they did face two teams who would go 0-2 for week 1, but their play looked promising, the aggression was there, and they could be HUUUUGE. This week will be more of a test for this team facing ENVY and TSM. (For the record, I like APEX playing style more than that of ENVY). But if there are still APEX players available, also highly recommend you reserve them a spot on your bench.


My fantasy LCS show will be on tonight at 8 PM CST. Tune in to talk more in depth about all of the action and fantasy strategies heading into the summer!

https://www.twitch.tv/nurai900


GL GL!

Nural

33 Comments

Pseudo Q6/8/2016, 10:20:58 PM2 votes

C9

Agree with snatching available C9 players. I'd have been a bit more wary of jumping straight on the band wagon in previous splits after just one week, but they've generated the equivalent of 3 weeks of data compared to the old best-of-1 format. Obviously, keeping in mind which players a prone to being subbed.

APX

Also think that they are in the sleeper territory, especially for week 2, but (if their form in week 1 continues) from week 3 they should have awoken into a valuable investment. I've grabbed Ray and Keane, and have left them on my bench this week.

SPY

I'm definitely watching SPY, but I'm not going to start or bench any players this week (in favour of other players I consider more valuable in the future). Tough week 2 ahead.

ROC

Roccat's above average kills per game is certainly interesting. But they also have a tough week 2 ahead.

NV

NV did look pretty passive in week 1, but they did also just about go above average in kills per game. Given they went 2-0, I'm not really sure that's a positive sign. Though they do have an interesting week 3 coming up.

My Projections

I have my own pure stats-based projection system, formed from calculations pulled from the Stats page tabs for each week. It's a fun project, but it also gives me a general direction to go in regarding which teams (and which players - not included in the image) are probably good this week and the weeks to come, based on the stats of their Matchups. It also helps me identify which of my players I'm likely going to need to bench (but not drop), and find a temporary substitute for them for a weak week.

I had a version of it last split (it's been updated for a First 2 Games format), and as the weeks progress it becomes more reliable to form decisions around. This new best-of format also provides more data per week, so it should become slightly more accurate, and sooner.

This is my projection for the next few weeks. Week 3 and 4 will most likely change to varying degrees.

http://i.imgur.com/LcqlxRB.jpg

P.S. The W2 Predict column and the Week2 column currently have the same values - Predicting the number of kills their team will acquire (in a First 2 Games format). But at the end of week 2, the Week2 column will update with the actual total number of kills, just like Week1. I like to track how close my predictions were.

Pseudo Q6/10/2016, 5:41:39 PM2 votes

Don't forget that everyone's drafting strategy isn't always as simple as one player or another. Your league format (First 2 Games / Best Match) also dictates how you should be drafting.

It helps to say what format your league is using when asking for advice.

TheYungSensei6/8/2016, 9:23:57 PM1 votes

Hey Nural, I need help with my roster. My league's scoring option is Best Game. Any feedback is greatly appreciated.

My Team:

Top: Darshan

Jung: Svenskeren

Mid: Fox

ADC: Rekkles

Supp: Biofrost

Flex: PerkZ

Team: Fnatic

Alts: Zven | Xmithie | Ray

My Opponent's Team:

Top: Cabochard

Jung: Trick

Mid: Ryu

ADC: Piglet

Supp: Adrian

Flex: FORG1VENGRE

Team: Counter Logic Gaming

Alts: Matt | Nukeduck | Impact

Free Agents:

Top: kfo | Kikis | Parang | Smittyj | SoaZ | Steve | Wunder | Zig

Jung: Airwaks | Dardoch | Gilius | Hard | Maxlore | Moon | Move | Procxin | Trashy | Zentinel

Mid: Betsy | Exileh | Froggen | Keane | Night | Pirean | PowerOfEvil | Sencux | Slooshi

ADC: Kobbe | LOD | Mash | MrRalleZ | Ohq | Police | SONSTAR | Veritas

Supp: Big | Bunny FuFuu | Gate | Hakuho | Hustlin | Hybrid | Hylissang | kaSing | Kiwikid | Mikyx | Raise | Smoothie | sprattel | VandeR

Team: C9 | FOX | S04 | GIA | TL | NRG | OG | P1 | ROC | SPY | nV | VIT | TSM | UOL

My opponent will most likely start Nukeduck or Impact over FORG1VENGRE.

Thank you for taking the time to read this. Have a good day.

Pseudo Q6/8/2016, 10:27:28 PM1 votes

Also, can this discussion be pinned for this week please? Just until next week's discussion.

GuppyRoc6/8/2016, 4:50:55 PM1 votes

I want to say Envy is a team to look out for as well, since, starting with the obvious, they went out of week 1 with a 2-0 record. The only issue is their first game was so passive and barely racked up fantasy points that all of it was based on objectives and cs. I drafted Ninja and LOD, but my mid in my current roster is Febiven, so Ninja could be a good flex pick against teams i feel like they'll win against.

I was out of town last weekend so I didn't get to watch the games, but I'm still kind of in shock about CLG's performance. I'm not really a HUGE CLG fan, but I expected a 1-1 at the least.

Do you think Immortals are also a sleeper team? I think they are, because 1) they are a new team even with veterans, 2) even though you know them with good solo players we don't know how they have performed as a team aside from week 1. I feel like people drafted them for the players, but then again I still have yet to watch them play

MyDaddyDrinks6/9/2016, 1:09:49 AM1 votes

Is Police worth keeping or should I drop him? Does anyone know how permanent the switch is to Reje?

OHminus6/9/2016, 9:45:07 AM1 votes

Xmithie or Gilius? Freeze or Fox (flex)?

Also Meteos or LOD? (my other team's flex)

Welc0meH0me6/9/2016, 1:53:46 PM1 votes

Hello,

I'm just looking for opinions on who to play this week.

My roster:

Top: Huni Jung: Svenskeren Mid: Pobelter ADC: Piglet Sup: Aphromoo Flex: Meteos Team: TSM

Bench: Impact, Fenix, Ohq

Notable FA: Top: Seraph, Kikis, Lourlo, Steve Jung: Procxin, Trashy, Move Mid: Xpeke, Ninja, Fox ADC: Mrrallez, Lod, Apollo Sup: Vander, Kasing, Xpecial, Hakuho Team: ENVY, C9, H2K, UOL

Opponents roster:

Top: Cabochard Jung: Amazing Mid: Perkz ADC: Zven Sup: Adrian Flex: Doublelift Team: Fnatic

Anyone opinions?

Furnace Of Souls6/10/2016, 12:28:30 PM1 votes

hey nural...i want to watch your fantacy stream but im never able to get on the cpu at that time. Maybe you could post them under past broadcasts for people like me. Thank you.Draven

Axis the Dragon6/9/2016, 12:19:06 AM1 votes

Nural, my man!

My Roster Opponent's Roster The Matchup

Notable Available Players: OHQ (NRG), Reje (VIT), Matt (TL), Hakuho (NV), KFO (FOX), all of roccat minus steelback, all of splyce

metalheaded226/8/2016, 7:24:50 PM1 votes

Hey Nural, Odoamne or Impact? Keane or Huhi? Thanks.