Who is likely to be a part of the Noxus update?
Obviously all champions will get their stories told eventually, but with the way Riot has left out some champions from previous updates, it makes me wonder who is considered "core" to Noxus.
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I really hope Sion gets a full background text. I think he's important enough to Noxus to be considered "core".
Noxus is actually a lot smaller then I first thought.
A lot of the champions who were previously Noxian, have since been retconned and put elsewhere.
My assumption for the Noxus event is;
Champions who may or may not get left out include:
, Her lore has already been expanded upon. More could be done for her, but she's in no desperate need for lore updates.
, inevitable update. We might get a hint towards him.
, inevitable update. Might appear in LB's story however.
It's possible Riot will swap out for
But I doubt the lore team will give up the opportunity to create duality between 
and
I would imagine the blood brothers, the royalty, and the black rose
And Urgot, seeing as he is likely going to be tied to the Noxus update
I'm keeping hope alive that we'll get an update to the Riven lore in the Noxus update, but I'm not sure that she's considered "crucial" to Noxus the way people like Katarina and Talon are. If they intend to tell more stories, though, Riven's great for that, considering her status as an Exile and her disagreement with current Noxus' policies and her wandering leads to a lot of story possibilities.
I always thought she had one of the more interesting lores in old Runeterra...but they never did anything much with her past her own lore. Can we get some Riven stories where she's acting on her journey to find herself, and to atone and whatnot? What exactly is her method of atoning? I'm sure that Noxus wouldn't be too keen on deserters, too, so I'm pretty sure they'd send people after her...
Swain
My assumption:
and . Draven is related to , and Darius his Draven's brother. Darius also holds a high position in Noxus and basically tied to it in every shape and form.
. She is the head of the Black Rose, one of Noxus' most well-know (or was it a secret) organization. . He is the leader of Noxus and tied to the Black Rose. 
and . These two have ties to Swain and LeBlanc as they are a part of the Black Rose.
. These three are brothers and sisters. Katarina has several ties inside and outside of Noxus (cough Garen cough). Her story has to come. Talon and Cassiopeia both have ties to Katarina, but I don't know them well enough to say that will or will not be a part of the update. They most likely will since they relate to Katarina, but otherwise I am unsure.
So, they all have a pretty good chance. However the core ones will most likely be , , , , , and finally .
Personally I think it'll be Kat, Cass for Noxus Prime; Talon, Draven, and Darius for those who climbed their way to the top; and LeBlanc and maybe Vlad for the Black Rose. I could see them holding off on Swain until his VGU, while Riven will probably be after Ionia. Sion could get a story too.
I can see them doing a Noxus lore update with Swains VGU as he represents Noxians ideals and beliefs pretty well.