Hextech Vayne/Annie odds from event?

An Actual Ghost·6/17/2017, 8:32:36 PM·15 votes·1,528 views

So an orb has a 1/2 chance for an extra drop, which could be one of three things, including a hextech skin.

Do those three things (extra tokens, 2 gemstones, skin) have equal odds once an extra drop is determined?

That would make getting a hextech skin 1/6 odds. 140 tokens an orb = 840 tokens.

You can get 750 tokens in the 1475 rp bundle, and if you don't get the hextech skin from those 5 orbs, you'll probably get enough tokens to open at least a 6th.

So you SHOULD (unless you're unlucky) have a good chance of getting a hextech skin if you buy the token bundle? And a decent roll of the dice 1/6 odds to get it from any orb regardless?

This seems really good since rito has made those skins nearly impossible to get so far.

*Warning - this depends entirely on what the drop rate for the three extra drops are, does anyone have CONCRETE stats on these?

14 Comments

Joxcab6/17/2017, 9:02:23 PM7 votes

It's less than 1%. Someone already tested it. The 2-gemstone drop rate is also only like 2%.

KoKoboto6/17/2017, 8:59:45 PM1 votes

Yeah I'm heading out right now to buy RP. I want Hextech Annie really bad.

DoktorKaiser6/17/2017, 10:38:27 PM1 votes

I think somebody bought like 100 orbs on PBE and got like 2 Soulstealer Vayne shards so yeah, the rate is pathetic. Not to mention that he said that like 90% of time he got bonus tokens, it was 20 tokens, even though a RIOTer stated that the max amount of bonus tokens you can get is "extremely huge" which would lead me to think its maybe even 1000, hell maybe 10 000 tokens, but if this dude bought 100 fucking orbs and only got more than 20 tokens 3 times then its just not worth. Another con by RIOT made to waste money. Ever since Project boxes which imo was the last thing that was worth the money, I bought 5 Project boxes and got 10 skins. Good value. Ever since its a literal scam.

korg0236/18/2017, 11:31:56 AM1 votes

That is why those skins are considered "RARE" you know what that means? It is hard to get! If everyone got those skins it would kill the purpose and value of those skins. I like it the way it is. As it is right now getting the hextech skins is very rare and when you actually get them you are going to feel so much more happy than if every other person had it.

Amelise6/18/2017, 1:23:38 PM1 votes

I bought two bundles of the tokens and only was lucky enough to get the two gemstone drop. My friend got the new yasuo skin just from a regular box... so would I be considered lucky or unlucky lol?

Edit: maybe I bought two or three, can't remember...but I only have 3 gemstone total now.

Hèntaî 6/18/2017, 4:32:58 PM1 votes

Im like 30 orbs in and I have yet to get the vayne shard, I got gemstones once though