stop talking winrates at worlds

Sir Prepuzius·10/15/2018, 3:49:34 PM·79 votes·18,605 views

seriously, can't you see it's dumb to even mention winrates, over such a small sample size?

it's like saying hey i got 100% winrate with reksai nerf this broken shit, while playing him 2 times.

73 Comments

Sukishoo10/15/2018, 4:52:46 PM80 votes

reksai nerf this broken shit, while playing him 2 times.

Him??!

Pika Fox10/15/2018, 4:01:46 PM30 votes

"wtf x has 80% wr worlds, nerf nerf nerf!"

2 days later x now has 13% wr.

Crickets

Meanwhile heimer is over here solo carrying games.

FOR JUSTICE10/15/2018, 3:55:50 PM25 votes

upvoting because this is true asf, preach.

but in all fairness, the logic behind using worlds is because "if the best of the best use it and its virtually unplayable against, then its most definitely broken". plus, riot balances around proffessional play, so it only seems natural to quote its pinnacle.

Minimac200010/15/2018, 6:10:47 PM15 votes

But 90% wr irelia over 10 games supports my opinions of her being bogus as a champion. How dare you say that 10 is a small sample size. I make up my mind about whether not a champ is broken after about 2 games Sincerely, Silver reddit analyst

Ahris10/15/2018, 4:46:47 PM14 votes

Broken in pro is different from lowelo soloq.

Trias00010/15/2018, 5:06:57 PM14 votes

Heimerdinger 100% winrate. Raise your dongers!

rtbf7610927110/15/2018, 6:56:02 PM10 votes

A rule of thumb for statistics is np >= 5 for binomial distributions. If you have 10 games (n = 10) with 5W 5L then p = 0.5. Which means 0.5 times 10 = 5 and you do have enough games to claim that 50% is a reasonable representation for that champions win rate.

Do the math on the probability of a 50% event happening actually 80% of the time over the course of 20 trials. The chances of flipping a coin and getting heads 16 times out of 20 is quite low. There is an indication that your original thought that the chance was 50% was actually wrong.

My stats class was a while ago now but let me just tell you this. Kai'sa and irelia are broken and the stats give a very strong indication of it, even with only 25 or so games

NanoFlameZero10/15/2018, 8:27:09 PM10 votes

Irelia and KaiSa are busted!!!!

Fuya10/15/2018, 11:52:53 PM6 votes

it's like saying hey i got 100% winrate with reksai nerf this broken shit, while playing him 2 times.

Rek'Sai is a girl [sg-soraka]

Jerry SeinfeId10/15/2018, 6:31:25 PM4 votes

i'll have you know i have thoroughly tested botlane teemo and can confirm it's completely broken as i have a 75% winrate over 4 games.

DorkunedAuras10/16/2018, 4:47:50 AM4 votes

One: Rek'Sai is female.

Two: As a Rek'Sai main, she is actually busted OP atm. Choose a different champ for your example.

JoeMG10/15/2018, 6:30:29 PM3 votes

I mean, Riot often admits to balancing the game around pro play. Since that's the case, I don't think it's unreasonable to hope that they take notice of what champs are dominating pro play since many (not all) of those champs also perform well in multiple ELOs.

FilDaFunk10/15/2018, 6:34:34 PM2 votes

0% leona winrate :(

Krully10/15/2018, 9:16:15 PM2 votes

lcs apologist

Noor Sakata10/15/2018, 6:49:18 PM2 votes

Well but shits like Kai'sa are worth talking about

aezens10/16/2018, 5:14:39 AM2 votes

ok .. but isn´t the difference that pro player are suposed to know what they are doing compared to the random "sample size" of casuals? Or are you implying the winner is decided by pure luck?

Summonah1236910/16/2018, 7:33:58 AM2 votes

I like how they say I get harder and harder opponents the more I win, but honestly it just feels like I am getting shittier and shittier feeders.

0DESTROYERZ010/16/2018, 2:10:35 AM2 votes

context please? its one thing to say something like kalista is 100% winrate even though she has been played like 2 times, but it is another thing to say kaisa has a whatever winrate with multiple games being played with her

Better Jungler10/16/2018, 4:26:40 AM2 votes

I think you guys are missing one part of this argument.

These are professional, top of the top players in the world. That means the champion is being pushed to its absolute skill limit. So if a champion looks broken at worlds, regardless of sample size, the data should be considered at the very least.

WoodenCreature10/15/2018, 5:34:14 PM1 votes

Well how about aatrox and urgot they are either picked or banned every single game so far.

5050BS10/16/2018, 12:04:01 AM1 votes

Oh so we cant use worlds win rates to point out busted champs because its too small of a sample and yet Riot will nerf and buff champs based on worlds that affect 10,000s of players

BestPudgeNA10/17/2018, 3:39:48 PM1 votes

Side note: talking presence rates for worlds is a big deal because it's what pro's, coaches and analysts of the game think is broken.

Also solo Q win rates aren't very meaningful either because you know they don't account for Tahm Kench and Nunu being the best INT champs in the game