Analyzing Reav3's indications on future VGUs

Hi everyone ! Last night I tried to get into Reav3’s head by gathering all the infos he’d put on the forums about upcoming champion updates. I ended up making predictions for the order in which the next 20 champion updates are about to take place.

At the end of this, I give you my final prediction for the 2019’s champion roadmap, which I think is quite accurate, due to the amount of sources that I’ve gathered.

For my classification, I prioritized the most recent sources (HPT > V > explicit quotes > CP > * ). The older ones date back to 2 years ago, and it’s actually fun to see the developers seem to have shifted from a “Tiers” system to a more linear “priorities” one.

There are two lists, the first one for full VGUs, and the second for smaller VgUs or only VUs (in the vein of Ezreal’s and Morgana’s ones, even though Morgana is according to Reav3 still getting a "full VGU", probably because her lore and theme are also updated). Btw, I didn’t include Morgana and Kayle in my lists, since we already know they are set to get reworked early 2019.

HPT "High priority target" CP "Current pool after Alkali/Irelia” ***** "Tier 1 candidates” V "Small gameplay tweaks, major VU"

Full VGUs

1. HPT CP Mordekaiser “very high on our priority list” *****
2. HPT CP Fiddlesticks “definitely high on our priority list”
3. HPT CP Mundo “high on our priority list” *****
4. HPT CP Pantheon *****
5. HPT CP Nocturne “pretty high on our list”
6. HPT CP Rammus *****
7. HPT CP Volibear *****
8. HPT CP Corki “whenever we get to them”
9. HPT Amumu
10. CP Skarner “definitely”
11. CP Udyr “at some point”
12. CP Kog’Maw “whenever we get to them”
13. CP Cho'gath “isn't super urgent atm” *****
14. CP Shaco *****
15. Xin Zhao "at least 1.5 years away [i.e min 2019]" *****
16. Malphite “definitely borderline Tier 1”

VgUs/VUs

1. V Jax "if the Ezreal VgU proves to be a successful product", “Tier 2"
2. V CP Kennen
3. V Blitzcrank
4. Veigar VU “talked about”

At this point I looked at the last 2 years to try and guess how many of each will come out in 2019.

2018 : VGUs = Akali, Aatrox, Irelia, Nunu, Swain / New champs = Pyke, Kai’sa / V(g)U = Ezreal 2017 : VGUs = Warwick, Galio, Evelynn, Urgot / New champs = Zoe, Kayn, Ornn, Xayah&Rakan

Then, following these indications from Reav3 : “Next year will likely be more of a 50/50 split like 2017” (between VGUs and new champs) “currently we have Ezreal, Kayle, Morgana and 3 other VGUs in early discovery phases"

My FINAL PREDICTIONS FOR 2019 are : 4 new champions 3-4 VGUs : > > and/or 2 V(g)Us : > or

The most likely imo is to get Kayle, Morgana, Mordekaiser (pretty much confirmed) and Fiddlesticks (because Mundo just got his animations updated) in 2019 and I’d say a Jax VU (because his current in-game model is worse than Kennen’s one imo). Followed in 2020 by a January/February Mundo update, and a March/April or update (the latter Reav3 seems very eager to rework due to his strong theme, even though he said 2 weeks ago that Panth was more likely than Noc being heavily reworked soon).

Thanks for reading Please be constructive in the comments and hf :)