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Losing streak winning streak losing streak winning streak

AugustThePranker··2 votes·1,707 views

Why is this still a thing? cant believe im wasting weekends hoping to rankup only to go on a massive losing streak ( bad team streak ), being knocked from promo to gold 2 to all the way down to gold 3 0 lp. incredible

7 Comments

Silent Gravity2 votes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tP-Ipsat90c&

It's likely that your interpretation of 'streaks' as an outside influence stems from an unfamiliarity with the nature of randomness.

FredtheFruchtbar1 votes

I get that, but it isn't completely random. There are algorithms that determine matchups. That has a huge influence on winrates. especially when one factor triggers another.

Kai Guy2 votes

The basic assumption being that under skill slants odds badly so you should expect see higher odds of loss streaks and longer streaks cuz they are dead weight or Higher odds of win streaks and stronger streaks cuz the odds are expected to slant away from "Fair" 50%.

Throw in some common human behavior like getting excited or frustrated (win a few, this is working. Keep doing it!. Lose a few, this is not working better try something new!) And you really should expect to see streaks.

Rn=Ro+K(W-We) being the basic representation of a Elo adjustment formula. Basic MMR MM Takes Ro with in a range for fairness designed to represent the weakest player in the game have performance results the system expects could potentially beat the best player in the game.

https://imgur.com/a/4rCIT6K

Then the Adjustment accounts for individuals as individuals rather then equal parts of a singular team. So K and We variable see impact.

Kai Guy1 votes

My kind of guy.

Kai Guy1 votes

What do you consider the starting # for a streak? 3? 4?

FredtheFruchtbar1 votes

I have this problem as well. It's so unbalanced. I will so often yo-yo with massive streaks (like 5-10). Its not fun at all.

Losing streaks always begin during promos....every time. I don't necessarily mind that I lose the promos, but it continues until I damn near lose the placement that I'm currently in.

Zardo1 votes

Sounds like you're at the elo you belong at! When you improve, you'll find yourself having a bigger impact in your games, winning more often. Sticking with less champions is a first step, 12 unique champions in the past 3 days is a bit too much. Second step is to have a bit more humility and learn where you can improve your play.

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