A Question About Key Fragments Under the New Honor System

I am hoping someone from rito will see this and give us a little information. If I'm not mistaken, when the new honor system was unveiled, it was stated that you could still earn the same number of key fragments you used to be able to, which I believe was four full keys per month. But I am seriously starting to doubt that's even close to possible. I play 4-5 games a day. I admit, I'm a mediocre player, so I don't get honored much since there's usually at least 1 player who carried harder, supported better, or was just generally more effective. So I earn maybe 1-2 honors out of five games at most. But still, five days into the month, and I've earned zero key fragments. None. I still only have the fragment left over from the order vs. chaos event. At this rate, I will be lucky to get even three fragments this month, much less 3 whole keys.

My question is this: Was the claim that we could earn the same number of key fragment drops per month based on a reasonable number of honors? Or based on the premise that we will earn at least one honor in every single game? Or even more honors than that per game?

I'd really like to know, because I have to admit, the lack of key fragment drops is starting to have a serious impact on my game performance. I don't like the feeling that my rewards are tied to other peoples' opinions of me, which may not be true, but certainly FEELS like it's the case. Since I don't generally chat in game and would rather just PLAY, it's frustrated to feel like the rewards are part of a popularity contest. Frankly, I'm getting frustrated and discouraged, and it's bleeding into my play to a VERY noticeable degree.

Edit: No sooner do I post this than I get a key fragment. But still, at this rate of earning fragments (1 fragment/5 days), I will earn only 2 keys the entire month, which is half of what it was my understanding was possible. So my question stands.