So last night one of my friends sent me a mystery gift and it was Spirit Guard Udyr!!!!!!
I was wondering if anyone knew what the chances are of that happening? I own 46 champs if that makes a difference
Thanks
The same as every other skin that is 520 or higher.
you have as much of a chance to get spirit guard udyr as some other random skin.
Well, if you assume each champion has three possible skins, you'd have a 1 in 138 change to get the skin.
That number will fluctuate up and down depending on how many skins each champion has and how many skins you already own.
i assumed it was a lower chance because it was spirit guard
Rules for mystery skins: https://support.riotgames.com/hc/en-us/articles/201752934-Mystery-Gifting-FAQ
Ultimate probability generic calc:
S = # of skins > 520 RP for the champs you own U = # of ultimate skins for the champs you own O = # of skins you already have
Assuming you don't own any ultimate skins, chances of getting one from a mystery gift look like:
U / (S-O)
If you wanted to boost your chances, you could do the following: Get a new account. Only buy champs with ultimate skins (Ezreal, Udyr, Sona) You should have more than 10 available skins depending on what limited ones are in the store, so you should be eligible for mystery gifts. Ez has 8 skins, Sona 6, Udyr 3, so you're good. Assuming all of those skins are available in the store, math looks like:
3 / 17 or ~17% chance of getting an ultimate skin. So 490 RP * 6 tries = 2940 rp on average to get an Ultimate. Cheaper than the 3250 rp for an ultimate!
lol i got DJ Sona they day of release from a mystery gift and i own all champions
