"How many games do I need to finish the Mecha Kingdom pass quests?" A Short Guide
With 3 weeks left in the Mecha Kingdoms event, and this being the most quests needed to reach 2 gemstones, some of you may be wondering exactly how many games you'll need to play on average to get through the 20 milestones each of 20 points. Well I've crunched the numbers so you don't have to.
With 400 points needed total, 5 for a win, 2 for a loss, (an average of 3.5 per game) you may think it's simply 400/3.5 = 114 games, but in fact because it is split into chunks of 20, you will often find yourself at 19 points only to win a game and have essentially 4 of your potential points be wasted. Below is the probability, given a 50% winrate, of every combination of win and loss needed to get to 20 points.
- 4W 0L / 20 / 6.3%
- 4W 1L / 22 / 12.5%
- 4W 2L / 24 / 15.6%
- 3W 3L / 21 / 31.3%
- 3W 4L / 23 / 11.7%
- 2W 5L / 20 / 16.4%
- 2W 6L / 22 / 2.7%
- 2W 7L / 24 / 1.6%
- 1W 8L / 21 / 1.8%
- 1W 9L / 23 / 0.1%
- 0W 10L / 20 / 0.1%
This gives us an average of 21.7 points, or 6.2 games, to finish each milestone, not 20. This means to finish all 20 milestones, you'll need to play on average 124 games of league before the end of the event.
WIth 25 days left in the event, if you bought the pass today would need to play about 5 games a day, every day. So if you're thinking of buying that pass, well stop reading this and get playing!