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Rise of Fnatic

Riot··1 votes·1,840 views
It’s a rough time to be a Fnatic fan. The team, after three EU LCS championship titles in a row, is now sitting 4-4 with one of their least impressive season openings ever. For Fnatic, taht’s a new trend. Let’s take a quick look at their records after Week 3 since the beginning of the LCS.
  • Spring 2013: 5-1.
  • Summer 2013: 3-6 (they quickly got a new bot lane and went 3-0 in Week 4).
  • Spring 2014: 7-1.
  • Today: 4-4.
See a trend? Fnatic open really well, Season 3 Summer excluded. Fnatic get a quick start and use it to leverage into prime playoff position at the end of each season. However, a 4-4 record today, with their presumably dream squad, indicates something is off. Has something gone wrong with the most successful LCS team in history?

Repeating history

Fnatic’s performance so far this split leaves much desired. Their opening match against rivals SK Gaming, for example, was an embarrassing start to the season. SOAZ all but admitted as much on Twitter after the game: “Did good earlygame and then i lost the game alone... sorry idk what i was thinking about midgame…” In many ways, sOAZ represents the passionate heart of Fnatic. As one of the most vocal members of the team, he stands as a figurehead for the stoic team that has weathered three dramatic LCS seasons, and all that preceded them. The squad we see today existed in truth since January 2013, as YellOwStar joined to eventually replace nRated, while Rekkles wandered around the challenger scene until his 17th birthday. XPeke and Cyanide, who both joined Fnatic when it formed out of myRevenge, are the soul of the team, skilled veterans who the Fnatic organization built around. Now the squad faces their greatest challenge yet—staying relevant against unreasonably high expectations. It’s a phenomenon we see all too often in sports: teams that win are expected to keep winning, no matter the cost. But take a casual look through any sports team that has met success, and you’ll find stretches of greatness interspersed with periods of weakness, of rebuilding, of rethinking and refocusing on the basics. No team can function at high levels without hitting the big red reset button every once in a while. The big question to answer, then, is whether Fnatic is in need of such a reset. Do they need to tank a season to get back on solid ground to retake the upper levels of the LCS? And if so, can they survive the brutal relegation cycles that have seen some of the biggest names in League of Legends fade away?

Keeping the Faith

It might be easy at this point to give a simple “Yes” response. Nobody would blame Fnatic, after three straight titles, to take a step back from playing at the highest levels. But ask any team in such a position, in any sport, whether or not they want to take that step back. The answer will always be “No!” True competitors fight against trends, they buck tradition, and they duel reason itself. In fact, the very same argument could’ve been made last split, when Fnatic were handed losses eight times in a row. With a 7-8 record, and two titles under their belt, nobody expected too much from the team. Nobody, except Fnatic themselves. And maybe that’s the key that keeps the Fnatic engine chugging along. Refusing to give up, refusing to step back, and refusing to apologize. The story is now legend - Fnatic climbed back up the ladder, clawing at every opportunity until once again the crown was in their hands. Sometimes you need logic, sometimes you need a break, but Fnatic’s 2014 Spring performance reminds us all that sometimes, you just need to win. Stamina is what sets Fnatic apart from the other teams. If you want a statistic, try this one on for size: In two years, since the beginning of the LCS, Fnatic have never had lower than a 33% win/loss ratio during the regular season. And in seasons where they don’t have a mid-season roster change, that figure rises to 50%. Over 92 games since the LCS began, that’s a phenomenal feat. In fact, TSM and CLG are the only other teams to play the same number of games and tie that 33% win/loss ratio floor. Consider, then, the extreme roster changes that have kept TSM and CLG going (Bjergsen, Seraph, Dexter, among many others), while Fnatic, outside of YellOwStar replacing nRated and Rekkles returning to the team, have had almost none. Put simply, the five members of Fnatic are the winningest crew to ever grace the LCS.

The Long Game

So how do they do it? For Fnatic, winning relies on the same stamina that sees them through each season. It’s easy to get caught up in early winners and losers of each split. but Fnatic are the ones in it for the long haul. Rather than the initial weeks, let’s look at the final three weeks of each split.
  • Spring 2013: 7-3.
  • Summer 2013: 5-5 (then 2-0 in the Tiebreakers)
  • Spring 2014: 7-1.
And then, at playoffs.
  • Spring 2013: 5-3.
  • Summer 2013: 5-1.
  • Spring 2014: 5-2.
When looking at the last three weeks of the season and playoffs combined, Fnatic’s win/loss ratio has never been below 66%. And last season was their best close yet, with an astonishing 75% win rate. If anything, now with Rekkles on board, the argument could be made that Fnatic are just beginning to power up. So yes, while Fnatic’s current 4-4 record is nothing to brag about, they’re well within the set standards that they have operated under in all past seasons. What’s more, as the weeks roll by, Fnatic has shown an innate ability to finish strong, and they’ll be sure to be aiming against at the title. Rather than needing a reset, Fnatic is a team very much on course. With everything on the line, these guys are without a doubt some of the most experienced in the LCS. Now down, but never out, Fnatic are sure to stun naysayers with some explosive games in the coming weeks. If their trend continues, this team will absolutely ignite as the season starts to close. Watch out Europe, here rise Fnatic.

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42 Comments

Ghost Marcus5 votes

To be fair...if u remember spring 2014 after that 7\1 they go 7\8. Now they don't always win but they don't always lose too. I think it's a "normal" season. I'm a fnatic fan and i'm not "omg fnatic are dead".

Spiffers1 votes

You do realize that's they still end the Spring with another 7/1, so it's a little irrelevant? Especially with how evenly matched all the EU teams seemed last split

Meanie404 votes

"Season 3 Summer excluded"

You feel comfortable throwing out 33% of a previous sample when trying to interpret a trend?

You sound like a politician.

Farilis3 votes

Nice article. Could be something that could rise Fnatics moral, I hope they read it. (If they need to do something about their mindset). I'm not a Fnatic - Fan by myself, but I like how you can change your point of view, if you think about Fnatics gameplay/game history/actual position in the LCS in a positive way. I'm not sure if I can agree to the conclusion "Watch out Europe, here rise Fnatic.", but thats something time will show wether its true or not. ;)

mr fonk1 votes
Macj951 votes

its full now

Maverin1 votes

http://fantasy.lolesports.com/en-US/join/league/342152/pQwHYgtRXnLSz2mGKNPI Draft will start as soon as the squads are filled. 8 man league. Hope this article brings faith into some early fnatic picks.

TG Kirito1 votes

hey uatafac is full now start the draft :D

Humble Pi1 votes

It's full Please draft.

Humble Pi1 votes

addmeimgood it's full.

TG Kirito1 votes

will draft in 30 mins

TG Kirito1 votes

draft starts asap

Eohor1 votes

They would be so strong if they kept puszu...

hoangbody1 votes

Hello friends, I recently created a LCs esports blog (http://hoangbody.wordpress.com/). Each week I plan on updating it with current standings, recaps of each week, my fantasy start em and sit ems, fantasy sleepers and my match predictions for each week! I would appreciate it if you all would look at it and give any feedback including suggestions and criticisms. Thank you, Hoangbody

Styzzzz1 votes

hey this is actually pretty cool! i look forward to seeing more of this in the future. keep it up ! (^_^)

Juha Bach1 votes

What about fnatic and forg1ven they will be unstopable!!

nin71 votes

In the middle of just season 4 it looks like a bit early to write about HISTORY, tales, legends and "1st evers.." or "onlyones..." LCS lol esports are just too young.

Which also makes the sample sice for the article data to be too smal for conclusions.

And oh, the drama...4-4 is a 50% win ratio which is confortable mid table spot, with this level of "tanking", relegation is posible but unlikely. They could simply keep on, figure the changes they need and implement them once the split is over.

Or they could win a bit more and if either SK or Alliance pass through a time of lower performance, catch up and go to world series again.

Or...so many things can happen to Fnatic jet that the article seems like a filler (sorry)

Farilis1 votes

Well, isn't that kind of early discussion something we always do then when it comes to sports?

It's the same if you think of soccer, "a trainer loses" four, five matches, and already everyones thinking about replacing this trainer. If there is a team that can't fulfill any high expectations about its perfomance because of its former good performances, there is the talk about the things going wrong and the discussion about its future. People need something to talk about and reporting about the good teams playing bad seems more attractive for media than the other way round. So thats why I'm happy with this article, because it turn things around.

Otherwise I'm afraid - because I agree with you, that there is very few data about LCS because of the "age"- that many people need some data to be convinced about everything. As you explained, life is not alway going as planned and many things can happen, especially in a game, so sometimes one should maybe trust its feelings rather than relying on data.

wints221 votes

While I enjoyed the article I have to disagree with the opening statements. To argue that they generally get off to a good start pointing to a sample size of 3 when only 2 satisfy the requirements is eager at best. The LCS is just too young to point to trends like this. That being said I will agree with the rest of the article that the one thing Fnatic have shown is resilience. If anything I think of them more of a team that pulls it together when they need to, not a team that leverages a good start for full season success; with that in mind I agree with the author that they will be a force to contend with for the rest of the split.

0fficerJenny1 votes

"Has something gone wrong with the most successful LCS team in history?" What the fuck is this talking about FNC is not the most successful team in LCS history

Gaxx D1 votes

No?

2011 1st Place Riot Season 1 Championship, 3rd Place IEM Season VI - Global Challenge Cologne, 1st Place IEM Season VI - Global Challenge New York

2012 November 23rd, 1st Place in the DreamHack Winter 2012, December 2nd, 2nd Place in the IGN ProLeague Season 5, December 16th, 2nd Place in the IEM Season VII - Global Challenge Cologne

2013 January 20th, 3rd-4th Place in the IEM Season VII - Global Challenge Katowice, April 28th, 1st Place in the LCS Europe Season 3 Spring Playoffs, August 25th, 1st Place at the LCS Europe Season 3 Summer Playoffs, September 28th, 3rd-4th Place at the Season 3 World Championship, November 24th, 2nd Place at IEM Season VIII - Cologne

2014 March 16th, 2nd place in the IEM Season VIII - World Championship, April 17th, 1st place in the LCS Europe Season 4 Spring Playoffs

They're not only most succesful team in LCS history, they're the most succesful team in the world. C9's 30-3 split means shit compared to all their achievements. Don't speak if you're clueless.

PingWin752 votes

It's okay if you ride the FNC hype train, but FNC is absolutely not the most succesful team in da world. Mig/Azubu/CJ Entus Frost, TPA are both more succesful and CLG is tied. Comparing FNC and C9 is hard, because the american team is way too younger. The only method is counting the results since the team's formation...C9 got much better results.

Now the hype train will continue and downvote me, but be fair: FNC is a good team (even if they will end like the Moscow five) but absolutely not the best at all.

Gaxx D1 votes

Do you even understand the meaning of the word "succesful"? It's not "their current condition". It's what they achieved. Also, there's no such thing as "fnatic hype train". The fact, that they achieved more than any of the other teams in the world is fact. TPA got s2 world championship, Frost and Blaze particpated in one IEM if the memory serves right and Frost got second in the world championship, that's all. C9 got nothing as of yet, even though currently they are a better team than Fnatic.

nin71 votes

You are missing the words "history" and "LCS".

History aplied to lol esports is a bit of an overstatement, but Fnatic has had more successess in this short timespam than any other LCS team.

Mig/Azubu/CJ Entus Frost and TPA are not LCS.

CLG may be a contender, as might be C9 in the future, but overall they is not ahead so still not a LCS team has had more success than Fnatic, so the phrase stands.

PingWin751 votes

nin 7, your post is totally correct, i can't argue with that. I just reacted to this phrase: "They're not only most succesful team in LCS history, they're the most succesful team in the world." This link contains Frost's achievements. In addition Korean tournaments are harder, than the other region's, i think winning OGN is more difficult than winning the worlds.

Just found, that according to Leaguepedia the most successful EU team is M5/Gambit.

Gaxx D1 votes

Back when Frost was sponsored by Azubu, Korea wasn't as dominant as you think. CLG.eu scored 2nd (they were invited) in OGN, losing 2;3 to Azubu Frost in finals (they were even winning 2;0) and won against other top korean teams at that time. And if winning Worlds was easier than OGN you would see SKT, Ozone and Najin at TOP3 spots last championship, Do I have to remind you that Ozone didn't even come out of the stage group? World championship is a much harder tournament, many more people are watching you and stakes are much higher. It's the most important tournament in the LoL e-sports. Fnatic, TPA, SKTT1K are the only teams in the world that won this tournament. Also no, M5 isn't more succesful team than Fnatic. While it's true they scored more 1st/2nd places in the tournaments they participated, there are few very minor tournaments. For example 1st place in Kings of Europe isn't even close to to scoring 7th-8th in worlds. Like I said, Fnatic has achieved more, than any other team.

0fficerJenny1 votes

What does C9 have to do with this? My post had nothing about C9 in it. Fucking FNC fanboy

Nivlaliu1 votes

2 samples is not enough to see a trend.

Patroniaxo1 votes

MasterYi +item 3206 =Jax

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