yes like the chorus, warding is important, and ward your jg.... ward a lot... 4 wards on map at a time pink +3 means between u as the jg and the support + the rest of the team (hopefully) there will be about 10 wards on a map at a time giving some sight (this really is such an arbitrary number im picking, lots of people dont ward)
for the 2nd part of your post about warding the enemy jg, a wonderful way to feel safe is knowing where the enemy is, look at the mini map a lot.... a lot....
if you see all lanes r full then you are only worried about the enemy jg, now i wont tell you to just know where the enemy jg might be through experience, thats not an easy skill to learn but if they just tried to gank bot and failed, they prob are not at their red atm.... if ur near top, throw out some wards.... what im saying is after actions which let you know with some certainty where the enemy is, you are relatively safe to go a bit deeper
you can also ward hop for safety... its just tossing out wards in front of you as move in deep into fog of war, empty out all 4 of the wards from stone and get out recall....
assuming you are playing good side...now for learning where to put them, there are a lot of maps where players have shown where are good places to ward.... instead of just copying and pasting though i want to say think of the game as a tower defense, the enemy is moving through on paths of least resistance... means if dragon was done recently, there is less reason to be near dragon for a bit, it will not be as active as other locations all other things being equal.... so that means a ward in dragon pit is probably going to be a lot less useful than a ward up top tri bush where the jg might try a gank when u are pushing top lane...
also, in general, ward the intersections, these give u sight of many different paths, if the enemy is using a sweeper, then dont ward in obvious locations, if the enemy has destroyed your pink, dont put another pink right in the same spot right away... they will prob check it again.....
people are creatures of habit, they will vry often place a ward right where they destroyed a ward.... if you have a sweeper u now know where to go.... counter warding baby