Is TFT more like Poker or a Slot Machine?
I think a good lens to view TFT through is to ask the question...
Is TFT more like Poker or more like a Slot Machine?
A slot machine is 100% RNG. Poker, however, has skill involved. However, I feel most of that skill is expressed through betting, bluffing, folding, and the finiteness of a single deck of cards. Imagine Poker where there was no betting, and no folding. You just dealt cards, had two rounds of strategic discards, (dealt from a 6 deck shoe not a single deck), and then everyone showed their cards to see who wins... That feels 90% RNG to me, and that is what TFT feels like.
To me, TFT feels like a slot machine.
After learning the basics, and running 60+ gold economies, is that it feels like my results (win are lose) are caused by RNG outcomes, not calculated choices. When I get that awesome card drop I wanted, it doesn't feel satisfying, because I didn't do anything to make it happen, I just got lucky. Likewise, when I get bad item RNG, or bad champion card RNG... while I can look back at previous decisions that could have turned out better, there was no way to know that at the time, with the information I had in the past. So it's still just RNG.
Maybe taking lessons from Poker could make TFT a better game.
Maybe we should bet our LP, or make bets with gold that we can use to BUY items (rather than RNG drops), or something to make it more skill based and less RNG based.