Some fun maths.
Let's say you consistently and without fail play two ranks above your current rank. Thus, you should climb. Let's also say that the chance any player in your current rank is a troll, afks, feeds their lane, whatever is 10% or 0.1.
It follows that the chance you have one of these players on your team is the following:
0.1*0.1*0.1*0.1 + 0.1*0.1*0.1*0.9 + 0.1*0.1*0.9*0.9 + 0.1*0.9*0.9*0.9 OVER 0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9
Or about 12.498%. This is because if you play consistently, then there is no chance you are a troll, thus we only have to consider your four teammates. We add up all possible outcomes (the chance 4 teammates are trolls, the chance 3 are, etc.) And divide by the chance that none is a troll to get the ratio of games you will have at least one troll in.
Now, let's consider the chance those players are on the enemy team:
0.1*0.1*0.1*0.1*0.1 + 0.9*0.1*0.1*0.1*0.1 + 0.9*0.9*0.1*0.1*0.1 + 0.9*0.9*0.9*0.1*0.1 + 0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9*0.1 OVER 0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9
This amounts to 12.499%. This statistical fact holds true no matter what the proportion of trolls is in your rank. The likelihood of a troll on the enemy team will always be higher than on your team, which means over hundreds of games, you will climb.
But we started off assuming that you weren't climbing - we assumed that you play above your rank and the only reason you aren't climbing is because of these trolls. We have proven that trolls have no factor on your rank, and that in fact you will win 0.001% more of your games simply because the enemy has a troll than you lost because you have a troll.
As such, there is a contradiction - we've proven that trolls actually make you win more games than they make you lose, which makes you climb, yet we assumed that you were not at your deserved rank and not climbing because of trolls. This cannot be the case, and thus one of three things must be true:
- You are not not at your deserved rank, thus you are at your deserved rank.
Or
- You are not climbing for some reason other than trolls (or afks whatever). Well the only thing other than your teammates that affects your climb is you... thus we must assume you are not climbing because of you...
Or
- You yourself are a troll, and thus our assumption you are not in our maths is wrong, thus the maths failed. Though, if you're a troll, there's a 100% chance of a troll on your team, and thus that's the reason you lose so..
Quod Erat Demonstratum. Trolls are not a factor in your rank.
#Limitations:
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Doesn't factor into account that this is statistics of infinity, thus obviously some players will experience differently, especially over 10s of games. However, the more games someone plays, the more closely this will approximate their teams, thus the less chance that trolls are actually impacting them negatively is.
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Doesn't take into account that the player in our case, the one we said was consistently two ranks above their skill, is not consistent, period. No player plays exactly the same each game for a variety of factors. However, this is a again a reason that can only be blamed on the player, not others.
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Does not take into consideration the chance another player in the game is playing above or below their skill. The math to prove this is exactly the same, but requires considering upwards of 2^9 configurations if we assume the player is constant or 2^10 configurations if we factor in the chance the player plays above or below skill. That's way too long for a post and honestly I can't be arsed to type it out, so I'll leave that to you to prove for yourself if you so desire. There are some neat tricks to control the number of cases you have to deal with in this analysis and make it manageable, and if you look closely, you'll see that the proof is exactly the same thus the result is the same.
Good luck on the rift!
support and
support and
support and many more into ranked, and I won't worry too much about climbing. It's nice to hit gold for the victorious skin (which I have done despite being a 'troll'), but otherwise, I don't really care what division I am in as long as I can keep experimenting and have fun. I'll keep on coming up with new strategies in normals and testing them in ranked, because that's my prerogative and the reason I continue playing.
last year before discussing it on the boards and subsequently watching it become meta last year. I also played a lot of
support early in the season before it became "too meta" so I moved on to find something new to experiment with. It's funny how 'troll' strategies become meta. People should recognize that the first people to experiment with anything new are usually labeled as trolls, so we trolls are actually the people generating all of the new emergent playstyles and strategies. It is kind of ironic though that my teammates blame my 'trolling' for holding them back when I often have higher MMR with a more upward trend. Sure, I could probably carry them harder more reliably with something meta, but I play off-meta enough that my MMR is accurate and results in fair matches when I am playing off-meta.