What do personal win/loss records tell us?

UNCLE RICO SUAVE·12/30/2015, 1:38:20 AM·1 votes·374 views

I'm curious, what do personal win/loss records provide statistical insight into? You have to factor in matchmaking, and I guess assume that the goal of the matchmaking system is to put you into groups of similar skill to try and keep the odds of winning for either team around 50%. Taking my numbers as an example, I'm 950-922 in normals, have only played 3 ranked games in well over a year, and am like 1112-1117 in aram.

Is there anything that can be extrapolated from personal win/loss records?

2 Comments

alasarcher12/30/2015, 1:52:47 AM1 votes

You dont factor matchmaking in long run. Because in alot of games, there is only 1 constant thing, that never changes. You. If you play 3 games and you lose 2 games, you can say bad matchmaking. If you play 3000 games and you have negative winrate, it means u arent very good. But if u have positive winrate, you can say u are good.

Minarde12/30/2015, 10:37:46 PM1 votes

Matchmaking tries to keep players at roughly 50% win rate. If you're above 50%, you're essentially above-average; below 50%, below-average. In practice though, it's not quite so simple. Beginning-of-season soft resets for ranked and playing in premades for everything else make it harder to draw any specific conclusions about win/loss records.