Hextech Crafting Loot Probability

So I've been testing the new Hextech Crafting system in the PBE lately and I thought that it would be interesting to see what the odds are like of getting different types shards/essences/icons. The first test that I did was buying and opening 100 hextech chests, and here are the results:

29 champion shards 585 RP = 12 790 RP = 4 880 RP = 7 975 RP = 5

59 skin shards 9 legacy 520 RP = 9 750 RP = 14 975 RP = 22 1350 RP = 7 1820 RP = 5 3250 RP = 2

10 ward skins 6 legacy 640 RP each

2 summoner icon

5 rare gems

After this test, I wasn't really satisfied with the numbers that I got so I took it one step further and opened 1000 hextech chests, this is what the numbers looked like this time:

599 skin shards 189 legacy skins 520 RP = 110 750 RP = 144 975 RP = 222 1350 RP = 62 1820 RP = 55 3250 RP = 6

328 champion shards 585 RP = 99 790 RP = 85 880 RP = 72 975 RP = 70

26 icons 6 legacy icons

47 ward skins 28 legacy

36 Rare Gems

3600 cosmetic essence

So after all it seems that through both tests, it seems that the probabilities are as follows:

Champion Shard: ~30% Skin Shard: ~60%

• Legacy Shard: ~25% Ward Skin: ~5%
• Legacy Shard: ~60% Rare Gem: ~4% Cosmetic Essence: ~1%