Already have a Victorious, Championship, or Conqueror skin. We wouldn’t do Conqueror and Victorious Karma in the same year, or Victorious Elise 2.0.
Play the same role as a recent Victorious Skin. Since we had a top laner last season, we tried to avoid picking a top laner again this year.
Have another skin coming out soon. We try to spread out skin content across our whole champion pool rather than drop a bunch of skins for one champ at the same time.
Have a very small number of skins. Since the Victorious Skin can’t be attained by everyone, we don’t want that to feel like the only skin your favorite champ gets.
Have a big balance change incoming. This is definitely the hardest criteria to figure out because balance can be fluid and we’re trying to predict the state of the game six months or so in advance.
Conqueror Skins: Varus, Karma, Alistar
Championship: Riven, Thresh, Shyvana, Kalista, Zed, Riven 2016, Ashe, Kha'zix (and we know Ryze is getting the championship skin)
Victorious: Jarvan (top), Janna (sup), Elise (jg), Morgana (sup), Sivir (adc), Mao'Kai (top), Graves (jg), Orianna (mid)
last person to get the victorious skin was a mid-laner. Feel like this year its either going to be an ADC or Support, maybe even a top laner.
Its definitely not going to be Lux, considering how recently she got battle academia (with prestige) and also how the last champ to get it was a mid-laner (even though this season she's been mainly played support).
I'm just hoping its not Akali or Kai'sa. (considering how many skins these two have gotten recently).