Why does every win streak follows a loss streak ?

option paralysis·1/30/2020, 9:35:45 PM·9 votes·12,906 views

Literally in my 6 years of playing, this is always the case. It's not even the "you reached your elo so you're losing more". No, I'm playing flex in gold/plat and won 15 out of my 20 games with mehh to decent teammates and then I get into promos for plat 1 and immediately get people who die twice before I even do my both buffs, then proceed to feed for the next 10 mins. It's not like this is a separate occasion. It ALWAYS happens. Be it on my smurf in silver, flex in gold or diamond solo games. Always. I don't even get joy from winning few games in a row, because I just wait for that 0/10 bot lane or whoever.

42 Comments

Mavëríck1/30/2020, 9:40:46 PM9 votes

Because Riot has rigged the system to be forced 50% winrate and they have enough data to create algorithms that keep people the optimal amount of addicted to keep playing, but not mad enough to quit. The idea is to keep people playing as long and as much as possible so they can have the paid cash skins and other fluff in front of them for maximum exposure.

Edit: If you win too much, which is evident by getting to promos for example, they will put people with low winrate for the elo, or people who have shown consistently weak mental or soft inting or afking/connection issues, to better help keep you down.

This is not to say that these games are unwinnable by default, but they are unwinnable due to the amount of effort needed to win them which is handicapping for you from the jump.

Darkstar Annie1/30/2020, 9:58:36 PM6 votes

Still waiting for that win streak turnaround myself. The loss streak has been real.

MagicFlyingLlama1/30/2020, 10:00:15 PM2 votes

A mixture of confirmation bias and how MMR works. If you get on a win streak, your MMR rises steadily and you begin encountering much stronger opponents, which is going to lower your winrate.

The reverse is also true.

Kai Guy1/30/2020, 10:29:12 PM1 votes

Would you be so kind as to tell me how many games do you call a streak?

Darkdemon6531/30/2020, 10:34:13 PM1 votes

[{quoted}](name=option paralysis,realm=EUNE,application-id=3ErqAdtq,discussion-id=QX8wRpsA,comment-id=,timestamp=2020-01-30T21:35:45.208+0000)

Literally in my 6 years of playing, this is always the case. It's not even the "you reached your elo so you're losing more". No, I'm playing flex in gold/plat and won 15 out of my 20 games with mehh to decent teammates and then I get into promos for plat 1 and immediately get people who die twice before I even do my both buffs, then proceed to feed for the next 10 mins. It's not like this is a separate occasion. It ALWAYS happens. Be it on my smurf in silver, flex in gold or diamond solo games. Always. I don't even get joy from winning few games in a row, because I just wait for that 0/10 bot lane or whoever.

Because humans are really bad with probability. In this case, the biggest factor is probably the ease at which we see patterns. For the purposes of this discussion, let's assume a win has the same probability to happen as a loss.

Getting three wins in a row and then three losses in a row has the exact same chance of happening as win, loss, win, loss, win, loss. Both of those have the same chance of occurring as win, loss, loss, win, win, loss. Whatever pattern of wins and losses you think would represent non-streaks or whatever pattern you would expect from a fair/perfect system has the same chance of occurring as every single other pattern of wins and losses.

JustA kleo1/31/2020, 3:44:25 AM1 votes

how else is the system supposed to be fucking with you? and vs that you cant even dodge. because you will continue to get teammates that int like crazy

there is a reason why diamond players write on their smurf (linking their dia main and their silver smurf) saying they cant get out of silver because they had such a huge winspree in bronze, they get teammates that literally have a combined score of 0/20 before the 8 minute mark.

the system works against you.

GilxeN1/31/2020, 7:06:28 AM1 votes

To keep you at 50% W/R as Rito algorythms want to.

Kiwi Lemonade1/31/2020, 12:20:58 PM1 votes

It might be league algorithms or it may just be the law of chance. If you get heads on a coin 5 times in a row, its generally expected that your next 5 _should _ be tails. I guess you could say more goes into League matchmaking to avoid coin flips, but it generally seems like it. A good team today, and troll team tomorrow. Only constant is yourself.

Also, you can't get autofilled while in promos, so it might be more likely your teammates will be autofilled to save time that way, furthering the difficulty. But I didn't make the system so I don't know.

Fella Air2/8/2020, 12:44:45 AM1 votes

It's pretty obvious that this is the case, people have explained it with more depth in other replies to this. Several white knights have come in to carry a bunch of water for riot and throw insults around as if that makes a compelling argument.

The best solution is to stop playing this game which punishes success and find something more meaningful to do with your time.

Cpt Teemo 20192/8/2020, 12:46:35 AM1 votes

lost my promos 3 times in a row cause of feeding bots or bad jglers, also smurfs as well in bronze the easiest area for them to pick on with new accounts