10 thoughts going into Week 8 -- "If you’re ever trying to speedrun something and you screw up early, you just restart. What you see when TL loses is just the unfortunate downside to their NA LCS speedruns."

Riot·3/7/2018, 5:00:34 PM·0 votes·11,550 views

Would you rather start the game with four Banner of Commands in your inventory or four solo queue teammates? Patch 8.4 brought forth a lot of changes and the teams that adapted best this week were the most consistent team (Clutch Gaming) and… the most erratic team (Counter Logic Gaming). ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Here’s this week’s 10 thoughts:

The lazy brown fox?The FOX bot lane struggled last weekend, which maybe provides a blueprint for teams looking to knock them out. But the loss against GGS may end up being a blessing in disguise -- I think rolling too comfortably into the playoffs creates complacency, which has plagued some of the FOX guys in the past. Especially around playoffs. But if they lose a game this weekend, it’ll be three straight 1-1 weeks. That is decidedly average.

They actually 2-0ed last weekIf you’re a top team, and you lose to CLG when CLG is at the bottom of the standings, does that actually count as a loss? That game was over as soon as C9 acquired a massive early lead. Rookie mistake -- CLG always plays better with their backs against a wall. Anyway, I wouldn’t take too much from that going forward. It’s a lot easier to not throw again than to learn how to secure early leads. C9 won’t really be tested until playoffs, where Licorice could finally be attacked (in-game and in the pick/ban phase) in an extended set.

Underrated? Or right where they belong?The final stretch of the season is brutal for CG as they take on three of the top teams in the league to close out the season (100, FOX, and TL). They’ve had doubters all split because they just don’t feel like an elite team (I don’t necessarily disagree). Whatever that means. Like, they could win the Spring Split and then sweep MSI, and there might still be some people who say, “Eh, they’re good but I still don’t know about them.” And to Clutch, that’s probably fine -- being underrated takes off a whole lot of pressure.

Liquid speedrunsIf you’re ever trying to speedrun something and you screw up early, you just restart. What you see when TL loses is just the unfortunate side effect of that. They either win fast or they roll over and lose. Why a team with so much veteran presence can’t play from behind is truly a mystery. If they figured out how to win even a third of those games, then they’d be sitting right at the top of the standings. Win lane, win game only works for so long.

Ocean’s 100Sometimes you get the thieves from Ocean’s Eleven -- a suave and star-studded cast that executes a heist to perfection. And sometimes you get the thieves from Home Alone that slip on a bunch of marbles. Going into Week 8 is a bad time to still be working on your identity, but they’ve managed to be firmly in playoff contention anyway. A lot of that is thanks to their bot lane popping off the last couple of weeks. I still think they need to figure out how to get Ssumday more involved -- for a player of his caliber, this has been a fairly lackluster split. Stick him on some carries!

No swag on TSMMost of the still high expectations for TSM are predicated on their historical performance in the postseason. But if you shook up the letters a bit and said this was STM, then what is this roster but a passive blob of inconsistency? If you look at the 100 game, Bjergsen plays a few of the team fights as a back line mage (Galio is not a back line mage). Watch the Galio in this clip for example:

Why is he so far back? If they don’t win that fight, they lose the Baron and likely the game. He’s way too good of a player to not commit here. That choke is a great spot for Galio’s taunt-Flash combo. You see even Zven goes over the wall. This play is a microcosm of the risk averse nature that’s characterized TSM for years. They absolutely need to take some more risks if they want to win this split.

Live look at CLG fans calculating their playoff chances

TSM’s matches this week are against C9 and TL -- both are games they could lose, which would potentially let CLG tie them in the standings. And if we look forward to next week, we’ll see that CLG’s last game of the split is against… TSM! Going from 3-9 to 9-9 and making playoffs -- all while knocking out TSM as well -- I can’t think of anything more counter logic... except maybe losing that last game after making it all the way to 8-9.

It’s raining turtlesCompared to the other two 4-10 teams, FLY just doesn’t look like they have any fighting spirit in them. AnDa’s struggles this split can be attributed to both his inexperience and his team’s communication struggles. For a jungler, being able to coordinate with your mid laner is critical, but Fly hasn’t been around for the entire split and there’s a language barrier. This forces Turtle to take some risky stunts (heh) to try to win fights for his team. As is, though, it’s hard to imagine this team just randomly gets better.

The future is crypto goldIt’s still premature to say the future is bright, but this team has really weaved together some impressive performances in the last few weeks. The win over FOX wasn’t a fluke -- they outplayed them from the get-go. And say what you will about this team, but they know what they have to do to win. Their problem is they sometimes screw up the execution. Hai randomly gets caught out or Contractz mistimes a play or they force a random Baron. A lot of those things are immediately identifiable and fixable. They’ll be a dangerous team in the summer if this growth continues. It could be the Gold-to-Challenger in one split dream.

Far from the topAt this point, as OpTic, you have to ask yourself if Zig or Dhokla are actually that much worse than some of their counterparts. I don’t think they are. OPT’s play with Dhokla not deviating much from their play with Zig kind of confirms my suspicion that OPT just have no clue how to get their top laner involved in the game. They may as well stick Dyrus in top lane. From management down to the players, I think everyone can shoulder a bit of the blame, so it seems weird to me to point at x or y as being the sole problems. They’ve looked so close to being there at times this season, too, but it just hasn’t come together.

MATCH PREVIEW
SATURDAY, MARCH 10TH, 5:00 PM PST
TSM
(7-7)
TEAM LIQUID
(8-6)

If TSM drops even one more game, then that opens the door for CLG to control their own destiny when it comes to the playoff race. And I get it -- TSM not making playoffs is so unfathomable that even I’m getting ready to blast myself next week for even suggesting it. But they lost to TL when these two teams last met, and there isn’t a clearcut favorite this time around either. The tank meta should favor Impact, which may open up the options for TL in the mid and late game. And that’s where both teams have at times found themselves struggling -- especially when the game is close or they’re behind. But that’s one of the things that makes this game interesting. On this patch, there’s a much larger emphasis on Baron because of Banner of Command. After securing Baron, the call is easy: buff the cannon minion and then siege. Whichever team secures the early lead will just win this one -- I’d expect early game focused compositions from both sides. TSM doesn’t have that much breathing room if they want to finally secure a trip to the playoffs and their desired Best of 5 format.

Kien Lam is a content producer for Lolesports. You can find more awful great jokes and commentary on his Twitter @meanmisterkien.

22 Comments

Ellomdian3/7/2018, 5:16:48 PM5 votes

So, like, what's 'more' CLG? Knocking TSM out of the Playoffs, or losing to TSM after an amazing run?

Terabyte Marine3/7/2018, 5:53:08 PM3 votes

I think Clutch is really good, they just don't seem to have any stand out performers, someone you can really point to as being their carry. Samsung felt like that example at worlds last year. I doubt the same thing could happen here with Clutch winning the spring split, but it is possible that their synergy is just that good.

TrollFan013/8/2018, 7:18:15 AM3 votes

Even if TSM goes 1-3 and CLG goes 3-1 if they get those ""1s" off each other then TSM goes to playoffs. They'd own the head-to-head against CLG so both being 8-10 won't matter.

Reaxetion3/8/2018, 3:40:37 PM2 votes

So that picture for CLG fans is actually MUCH more accurate for me, a GGS fan.

For GGS to make playoffs, 100 Thieves and/or Team Liquid need to lose out (which is good since neither play the other) as well as GGS win out. If this happens, TL and GGS would have a tiebreaker match or, GGS would advance ahead of 100 by nature of head-to-head record (GGS beat 100 already once, and they play again in the last 4 games).

Alternatively, if TSM loses out, and GGS wins out, they auto qualify for the playoffs assuming CLG goes 2/2. If CLG goes 4-0, the dream is dead. If CLG goes 3-1, GGS and CLG play a tie breaker against each other. If TSM wins 1 game (and not against GGS) then GGS will have tie breaker matches with TSM and Possibly CLG. It gets very complicated here.

Further more, while Fly can't take out GGS due to H2H record, Optic Certainly can if they also win out.

TL;DR - GGS fans, follow this handy order of operations to cheer your team to victory! Items higher on the list take precedence over ones lower on the list should there be a conflict of interest.

  1. Cheer for GGS!
  2. Cheer against TL and 100
  3. Cheer against TSM
  4. Cheer against CLG
  5. Cheer against Optic

GO GGS!

Jern3o3/8/2018, 11:41:09 PM2 votes

Both games for TSM are on blue side. Tsm is 5-1 on blue side his split. Their last 3 losses have all come on red side. Liquid is 4-4 on red and C9 is 4-3 on red. C9 has lost 3 games in a row on red side. Tsm has won 3 out of their last 4 games overall. TL and C9 are just 2-2 in their last 4 overall. So it is very much possible for TSM to come up 2-0 this weekend.

SciFi Scrivener3/7/2018, 6:26:17 PM2 votes

TSM has a real good chance of going 1-3 the last two weeks. CLG v TSM as the last game of the season for those two teams has a real chance to be an epic Bo1.

Wontedd3/7/2018, 10:54:18 PM2 votes

Bjergsen needs to change teams. Tsm has him brainwashed to always play as safe as possible. Tsm tries to play controlled and risk free but that just aint gonna happen because nothing can be completely controlled especially with their wardings LUL

III BAKURYU III 3/7/2018, 10:35:59 PM1 votes

Bjergsen is like that solo Q player that doesn't do anything but at the end of the game says "my team"