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Worlds 2017: Group Stage Week 1 stats breakdown

Riot··1 votes·11,261 views

Check out the stats from Week 1 of the Worlds 2017 Group Stage.

 

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43 Comments

Chazual Fridays8 votes

Just wanna say, 1907 Fenerbahçe deserve a lot of credit for getting to groups and exposing a huge weakness in Samsung Galaxy. Even if they end 0-6, I feel like they and fans of the TCL have a lot to be proud of.

RenownedWheat424 votes

Fenerbahce have seriously put in a ton of work. SSG didn't even deserve their win against FB, it came down to one misplay from Frozen. For an LCK team to have THIS level of an issue against a team no one expected to make any impact is insane. If they put more work in I'm certain FB will be a team to watch next year.

Yukon791 votes

To be honest the team is good. They have to be to make it to worlds.

But they are hard to follow. Mainly because, I really dislike there name. Sometimes the casters call them 1907. Other times Fenerbahce. It's just to long and confusing. So even if they are good. I don't really like watching there games. To say the whole name it's 8 syllables, and with no good way to shorten it.

While they deserve credit... I think a lot of people don't care to look at them simply because there name sucks. I could be wrong, but as a sports team of any type. It is import to have a name that is catchy and easy to say. This name does neither for me.

C9 Magnus4 votes

My Power Rankings: (tldr: NA and Korea R oaf stronk, but r dey stronk 4 log? #Biased) S Tier: 50%

  1. Longzhu (3-0)
  2. SKT (3-0)

A Tier: 20%

  1. RNG (3-0)
  2. IMT (2-1)
  3. C9 (2-1)

B Tier: 15% SSG (2-1)

C Tier: 10%

  1. TSM (2-1)
  2. Misfits (2-1)
  3. WE (2-1)

D Tier: 4%

  1. G2 (1-2)
  2. GAM (1-2)
  3. AHQ (1-2)

F Tier: 1%

  1. EDG (0-3)
  2. FW (0-3)
  3. FNC (0-3)
  4. 1907 (0-3)

Teams are placed in each tier based on their overall win rate and performance, with stronger teams being numbered higher in each tier. The likely-hood of each tier containing winning team is rated by a guessedimated percentage. Sadly, my pick-ems are complete trash this year. Week 2 will really decide if I'm correct about my power ranks or not, but I'd say that the teams that are in the F and D Tier are almost guaranteed not to get out of groups just because there are only 3 games possible for each of those teams to win (not including tie breakers). And if I'm being completely honest, the only teams I had difficulty deciding where they placed were: TSM, RNG, and SSG just because of how they've been playing. At times RNG looks to be stronger than both C9 and IMT, but is that because SSG is doing particularly bad this year? In regards to SSG, is a Korean team really B Tier, or are they having a rough week 1? Finally looking at TSM, they look stronger than the other teams in their group but they did last year too and flopped hard in week 2, so are they really reliable enough to call B Tier or do they deserve C Tier? Hard choices, all I know is that out of all the regions NA, Korea, and China look the strongest here, and of those regions I think SKT, RNG, LZ, IMT, and C9 are most likely to win it. Probably SKT or LZ will win worlds, but it's fun to dream of non-Koreans winning.

C9 Magnus1 votes

RIP EU fans, I don't think EU is making it out of groups unless Misfits upsets WE or TSM (which isn't out of the picture yet) and one of your teams is on the lowest Tier, but to be fair so is a Chinese team. Maybe better luck next year? I don't know, EU seems to only play spoiler now and they are only getting worse. Same thing can be said about the LMS.

korean dog3 votes

I would put RNG between (LZ, SKT) and (C9, IMT). Probably A+ tier. They are probably just a level above C9 and IMT and are arguably a top 3 team in the tournament right now.

C9 Magnus2 votes

I think RNG is top three as well, hence why they are the top A Tier team, but I believe that SKT and LZ are still stronger than RNG. Your entitled to disagree, and that's fine, hence why it's an opinion.

Rathimas2 votes

I agree the so called group of death and RNG is handing it to every team in their group. SKT looked shaky at times. While LZ played easier teams based on groups. RNG looks unstoppable right now. They are the best team currently

Kaptain Kuddles2 votes

If TSM can show out this week and no major upsets happen (positions stay the same) then I'll have a 100% pick'ems for Group Stage.

I don't think IMT and C9 are a step above TSM. I think they are all relatively close, but I did notice the (#Biased) up top, the IMT logo and the C9 in your name ;) lol

C9 Magnus1 votes

I don't know, TSM is in a group with no Korean teams yet are still only 2-1. When you take into consideration that they are the only NA team to lose to a non-Korean team, are they really still on par with each other?

Kaptain Kuddles2 votes

We will have to see this week. I don't think the field - outside of LZ and SKT and possibly RNG - are far apart from each other in terms of skill and competitiveness. Each region has their own playstyle and each team has their own nuances within that style. I don't think you can necessarily say that in a BO1 you can definitively answer the question of whether or not one team is better than another. MF played one of their best games since the EU playoffs against FNC. That best performance coupled with a weak game from TSM was enough. We've also seen teams who SHOULD have won games end up losing because of the state of late game team fights and how 'snow-bally' the game becomes around the 1st baron fight.

I will say that the seeds of doubt are planted, but I'm not willing to throw in the towel just yet. I do think of the three, C9 have the best execution so far. But does that speak to a weaker than presumed EDG and AHQ? The only way to tell is to see what happens this week. After they have already played each team and have time to build out their strategy.

C9 Magnus1 votes

I agree that the teams are fairly close, excluding EU, LMS, and Turkey, but I think that TSM has been gifted the easiest group out of all the other NA teams and the only game they actually looked good in was their game against WE. I think that Week 2 will be the proving grounds for if I'm right or wrong about that, but for the most part I think it's fairly straight forward with which teams stand a chance at winning worlds. We can say "Oh Misfits performed, while the other teams in the other groups under performed," but is that true? EDG nearly took a game off SKT (an S Tier team imo), and AHQ was able to hold their own against C9. You definitely can't argue that IMT is doing well because of a weaker FNC and GAM because IMT was able to nearly beat LZ, and if it wasn't for them losing baron I think they would've actually won. So, no, I don't think TSM is nearly as good as C9 or IMT, but I do think that they are capable to surpass both of them if they cleaned up their early game and overall strategy going into games. What they need to realize is that losing the entire game, until coming back through late game team fighting, will never win against the LCK. It might work domestically, it might work against the LMS, but what has been proven time and time again is that Korea knows how to capitalize on even the smallest leads (EDG vs SKT and IMT vs LZ are both prime examples). So if they want to stand even the slightest chance at getting out of Quarters, they need to fix whatever issue it is that isn't allowing them to make those early game leads that they will undeniably need against Korea in the next two weeks.

Kaptain Kuddles2 votes

Yes, it is true that Misfits had one of their best games since their 0-3 EU Championship games if you want to base it off game stats. I'm not sure why PoE was allowed to have LB. Not smart drafting in my opinion.

EDG nearly won games, but didn't win a single game. Due to late game execution errors and mistakes. They may come back and 3-0 this week, they may not. But it proves my point that the ENTIRE playing field (as you stated above - excluding EU LMS and GobbleNation) is very close in competitive strength, from a team macro level and individual mechanics level.

I want you to go back and watch the IMT game... sure, they stayed even (+ or - 2k gold) for the majority of the game until about 25 minutes when they CHOSE to take an infernal drake, giving LZ an almost free baron and essentially snowballing the game into a loss. Xmithie proved that he is NOT an Ezreal player and I don't necessarily like the pick in competitive or even ranked play. If you don't get ahead early, you may never have enough damage to be effective in a team fight since you offer zero utility AND are squishy as hell. So yes, I can argue that IMT is not definitively better than any other NA team.

It all boils down to what we've both said time and again, it comes down to this next week of play. You also have to remember that small leads in and of themselves are effective early, but not so much when you hit 20-25 minutes. Out of a 1.5k gold lead, you could have had 500-700 gold easily invested in pots and vision. Yes, this CAN grant huge advantages but I think most teams are proving that it comes down to the first major team fight win, which typically aligns with the first baron. I don't have a problem with TSM picking a scaling comp and maintaining a <2K gold deficit at 20 minutes. I WOULD prefer a stomp, or an early game execution that pushes to mid game snowball but we have yet to see that from TSM.

Different strokes for different folks I suppose. Let's come back to this after this weeks games!

C9 Magnus1 votes

I realize you are free to hold your own opinion, and you can openly disagree with me. I respect that you're taking the time to comment on something that I posted, and the fact that you have an opinion to begin with is a good sign for the future of eSports. What I would fear is to see no comments, and no opinions, around me saying that certain teams will lose or win. Who ever wins, or loses, will be made irrelevant the next year but for now my money is on any of the three North American teams just because I am the incarnate of NA bias. What's that? C9 vs TSM world finals? Calling it now. #C9WIN ;)

Yukon792 votes

TSM... To be honest they shouldn't have lost any game. And they are killing themselves in the early game for no reason. But I wouldn't mind if they win all three games this week.

I really don't know why Flashwolves are performing so bad. I put them a close second in there group. But it looks like I was wrong to do so. TSM should be first in this group. But even still; they seem to be under performing to me. Especially in the early game.

Though; my pickems need Flashwolves to win all three games, and a tiebreaker. And TSM to win the other 2. My pickems are probable doomed for this group. The rest of my pickem groups are fine though.

SciFi Scrivener2 votes

No arguments here, I agree with your list. Well done.

C9 Magnus1 votes

Thank you, it's always nice to know that someone agrees with me.

Chazual Fridays2 votes

Thoughts:

Definitely think you over-rank IMT. Personally, I think GAM is the better team in their group; they just need to be smarter in champ select and show some restraint (in their game vs. IMT, they gave up Xayah and Rakan, and the Kayn pick was foolish IMO), though it wouldn't exactly surprise me if that kept them from the quarterfinals.

TSM is definitely better than you give them credit. I think they got too comfortable/cocky in their game vs. Misfits. I expect them to 3-0 Week 2. If they don't, then perhaps your ranking is justified.

Fanatic is definitely the worst team right now. They look absolutely horrendous. Certainly 1907 Fenerbahçe, for having nearly defeated Samsung Galaxy, deserve more credit.

All in all, this will be an interesting Week 2. I think it's very possible EDG, FW, and FB take home a win before the end of groups. Mostly I think Week 2 will expose inconsistent teams and test how teams adapt from their first game with each team.

Eleshakai2 votes

Pick and Ban is a big part of success though. If GAM is a team who sucks at Pick and Ban, then that's a huge weakness that NEEDS to reduce their ranking as a team.

I think you're overranking GAM, they're a relatively competitive team, definitely on par with most of the core regions, but I don't think they're better than Immortals. Partially due to their reliance on a single strat(they tend to rely on 'strange' picks to disorient the early game so they can survive to late game and win late)... this means that if their strange picks DON'T disorient, they have a tendency to not do too well. Don't get me wrong, the ability to play niche picks and mix things up is a huge strength, but if you can't play 'standard' then you're missing a key element to me considering you a strong team... and GAM hasn't proven that they can quite yet. The other thing that hurts them is exactly what you mentioned, their pick/ban seems really weak. I mean, you just DON'T let Xayah/Rakan through to a pro team right now. The combo is just too insanely strong.

C9 Magnus1 votes

I agree, Eleshakai, that GAM is being overrated. Their play isn't necessarily better than IMT, who stood toe to toe with what I predict will be the winner of the tournament. As goes TSM, I think that their early game is still horrendous and will most likely cost them if they do make it to Quarterfinals. I think that Week 2 will really decide if I'm right about the whole TSM debacle, because if they manage to show stronger play and go 3-0 I will most likely need to retract my statement and place them higher. Also, I can understand the statement of "you're underestimating 1907" because I agree that they are underestimated, but the reason why I'm placing them so low is because the likely-hood of them actually getting out of groups or winning a meaningful game against SSG or RNG is extremely low (almost impossible at this point).

Rathimas2 votes

Agree with you on the over ranking of IMT. They aren’t performing that much better than TSM and should be 1-2. C9 is clearly playing their style and it’s working. They look the best of the three NA teams so far. TSM group is the group of life because every team that wants to make it out wants to be in this group and it’s possible for every team in this group to win against everyone else. But overall it looks possible that all three NA teams make it out. The one team that might not is TSM. C9 got AHQ which people said was worst LMS team, and thankfully EDG at worlds is a thing. While IMT group looked tough at the start the dumpster fire that is FNC happened. Add in a GAM this is a pretty easy group.

C9 Magnus1 votes

You wouldn't even believe how many people want to underrate C9 and say that TSM is the best NA team at worlds.

Rathimas2 votes

no one is underrating C9 I hate C9 and I have said they are the best performing team at worlds currently. Even if TSM was 3-0 that group is so unpredictable. In group A with AHQ being exactly what everyone thought they were and EDG being bad, a previously hard to win group is now easy. Again I think C9 is the best playing team from NA with TSM and IMT being pretty underwhelming. Though IMT almost winning against LZ was in my opinion more noteworthy than TSM beating WE.

Eleshakai2 votes

I think you've got a pretty solid ranking. Interestingly Korea and NA are the only major regions to have sent a team that doesn't look atrociously bad in week 1.

C9 Magnus1 votes

Mhm, very true. TSM is honestly, in my opinion, the weakest NA team this year and even they look like a potential contender for the Finals if some of their play cleans up. Korea's SSG looks pretty weak compared to last year, but to be honest they still look pretty strong when you look at teams like Fnatic and G2. Honestly I think that this year is the best year NA is going to have at worlds, unless week 2 comes back and bites us like it does every year. Statistically speaking, though, NA and Korea are top 2 with China trailing close behind NA, every other region is either weak because of meta or just not showing up this year (I'm looking at you EU). There is still a lot more games to be played before we can determine the absolute best region/team, and until the end we can only guess who is good and who is bad, but for now I predict that NA will send at least one team to the finals (especially if any of the three NA teams starts to clean up their play)

Panman182 votes

Personally, I think you've put a bit too much focus o the record and not enough on the context of the games especially with the 3 games sample size per team. Week 2 of Worlds is a whole different animal from Week 1 if we look at the past few Worlds.

C9 Magnus1 votes

I agree that Week 2 will determine the true winners and losers, but, as goes putting focus on record over context, I thought I made a pretty clear distinction on who is good only because of their record and who looks genuinely strong. For instance I could've said that C9 are making it out of groups just because they're 2-1, but instead I elaborated and said that they're making it out because they took down an EDG that looked to be making a comeback in their game against SKT, which they nearly won. That should provide enough context without having to go into extreme detail on why C9 is placed above, for example, TSM. I agree that week 2 is a whole different beast, especially with NA's track record of week 2 failures, but given the context of how NA is winning (through meta picks and comps) I think that NA is almost guaranteed to get at least two teams out of groups, maybe even three. Now I could go on and on about the rest of my picks and why I assorted teams the way I did, but I think I've given enough insight on the issue to convey my message. I respect your opinion, but I also highly disagree with your comment about me leaving out context and only focusing on the amount of games a team has won or lost.

SKwiD3 votes

A typo on the largest image on your homepage? "Check our the stats from Week 1 of Groups?" Try using "Check out* the stats" next time. Seems to me you guys need an editor of some sort. I am available for hire.

Jèdo2 votes

Na always does well in week 1 in worlds, but always fall in week 2

Kaptain Kuddles2 votes

I'm really hoping they go full "hold mah beer" this year and actually show up.

Andy Guo1 votes

c9 plays last again, I see how this will go...really rito tip tsm and immortals. C9=NA last hope again

Miror B6 votes

I still think IMT will make it out of their group if only because they lack competition for 2nd. Fnatic literally had a rift herald dancing in their base which makes me think that they stand no chance of winning the rest of their games if only because of sheer tilt value, and for gigabyte marines to "get in" they'd either need to 3-0 and/or hope that IMT goes like 1-2 (both incredibly unlikely because again, that'd mean fnatic would have to win a game). TSM is in a weird spot as while I'm sorta hoping they win due to pick'ems (I had them 2nd) their loss to what I expected to be a 0-6 misfits team kinda makes me hope they just go either 1-2 or 0-3 so we don't have to deal with them embarrassing NA again.

Oh, and C9 is almost guaranteed to be in if only because like last year, they have SKT in their group which has a habit of carrying former members. I'm pretty sure the only way C9 doesn't make it out is if they go like 0-3 or if they go 1-2 and AHQ beats skt.

Jèdo1 votes

And some Fnatic members say there are issues with the team behind stage, which can really affect their mentality in the next week. And also Soaz was basically flaming his team on twitter saying like oh, the enemy team could probably win if they pick teemo or said, I wish I can farm 20 minutes without worrying about my team, how sad. I agree.

Wifi the Router1 votes

It's because Caps hasn't gotten his orange juice this year.

Rathimas1 votes

Soaz isn’t wrong he is playing the champs the team wants but doesn’t get help in top at all. Which is fine if the lane that is being pushed over him gets ahead and uses that lead. The IMT game was the closest I seen that happen and rekless just dives the notorious POB and got clapped by kog

Yukon791 votes

To be honest I only rated Fanatic 3rd on my pickems. And was debating putting them fourth. And Now I wish I had lol.

Maybe it's just me, but I don't think it's all team issues. Reckless is still being the carry. It's just not enough to have one great player on the world stage. You need a whole team. And at worlds it just shows how far behind the rest of the team is compared to there ADC.

Torgaz1 votes

You have "Most Picked" and "Most Banned" what about "Highest Presence" by percent where [(Pick+Ban)/ (total # of games)] that way it would show Kalistas 100% Ban rate or maybe that Galio was picked in all games where he wasn't banned. Would be interesting to see how many are at 100% pick+ban

TrollFan011 votes

TSM is giving .e some weird flashbacks to SSG last year. Drop one game when you think they're go 6-0 because they're the best team in the group. Now if they go 3-0 this week they're finish that SSG feeling and take first place anyways.

korean dog2 votes

I never think TSM will go 6-0. They aren't that good lmao

TrollFan011 votes

{quoted}

I never think TSM will go 6-0. They aren't that good lmao

You got the point though.

bobbybigwheels1 votes

LMS really showing that they should not have gotten a 3rd seed to worlds this year. I dont think EU is as bad as people think. IMT should of lost to Fnactic if not for Reckless going suicidal. G2 just got a hard draw and Misfits showing they can hang with NA & China. Group D is going to be interesting week 2. Only group I see not locked in at this point.

ahsaya1 votes

Group D is "by far" the most interesting in terms of where teams will end up. I wouldn't count out the other groups yet though. After all, anything can happen at Worlds.

Rathimas1 votes

Honestly I think people are over hyping how group D is the easiest group at worlds. When a group with a clear 1# is present like A-C you just have to play above the weaker teams in your group. EDG shits the bed at worlds, and AHQ is not good at all group A seems easy. You know SKT is going to win so C9 just has to play good enough to beat the two worst teams. To get out in group D you have to bring it every game. Misfits were being shown to be weakest team from EU but I watched their games they were good in playoffs before they lost knocking out teams like FNC which were supposed to stomp them. Group B is just FNC not showing up while group C is just a hard group at least they have a wildcard team to beat up on.

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