LCS Fantasy Draft Strategy

Riot·4/16/2014, 11:12:04 PM·0 votes·855 views
Drafting your team is scary, especially if it's your first time ever; there are many factors to account for so we're going to give you a few pointers today to avoid getting caught like a deer in the headlights when Draft Day arrives.

Carries Don't Win LCS Fantasy Alone

Simple things first, 1.5: this is a critical number because it's the difference of the average projected points per week for AD carries (12.8) and the lowest position, Top lane (11.3). In other words, just a kill and a half; you're going to have to dispel the illusion that even though carries such as Doublelift can take over LCS matches, they won't single-handily win you Fantasy LCS games. You're going to need a balanced team to ultimately come out ahead.

The Extremes

8 of the top 10 projected players are non-carries, but only 2 of the following 15 are non-carries. What this means is that the top tier supports, junglers, and teams should be valued higher compared to the other positions. The average jungler will score 11.6 points per week; with Meteos hanging out at 15.6 points per week, this is one the largest gaps (4.0) between the highest rated player and his position's average. The same can be said about the teams such as Cloud 9 (15.1), who is ahead of the average (10.3) by nearly 5 points.
Meanwhile, you can pick up relatively equal AD carries, Mids, and Top laners since the difference between the extremes and the averages are much smaller. Here's an potential draft scenario after Round 1 in an 8-team league, and you are pick #11; (Meteos, Xpecial, C9, Rekkles, FNC, Jankos, Yellowstar, TSM, xPeke, GMB). Although taking a carry here such as Bjergsen or Doublelift may be tempting, these two are only 2 points ahead of the average AD or mid. Meanwhile, you can dig deeper down the list and find ROCCAT, who sits at 13.5, still 3.2 points ahead of the average team. And even if every carry is drafted for the next 11 picks, you'll still find yourself at Hai (13.0) or Sneaky (13.0) for pick #22, both respectable picks for their position. Meanwhile, you just denied ROCCAT from all of your opponents and after Dignitas, the remaining teams are below the average projected points.

Overall Strategy

So what have we learned? Don't tunnel in on carries, and prioritize drafting the extremes for each role. How does this translate into the real thing? You'll want to prepare a priority chart before Draft Day about which players are your top picks for each position and write down their respective projected points (or your own projections; if you value WildTurtle (13.8) higher than Doublelift (14.4), you should write in at least 14.5 for WildTurtle). Then, write down these numbers ADC - 12.8, Jun - 11.6, Mid - 12.6, Support - 11.5, Team - 10.3, Top - 11.3; these are lolesports' averages for every position. As you begin to draft, you'll be taking the highest player on your personal list, subtracting his position's average from his projection to find the difference and whoever has the highest disparity, should be your pick for that round. However, keep in mind of the drop-off between players in the same position. Say you have the option to take Diamond (14.4) or Dignitas (12.7), even though Diamond has a 2.8 gap between him and his position's average and Dignitas' gap is smaller at 2.4, dropping from Dig to Crs (9.9) is 2.6 while Diamond to Cyanide (13.3) is only a 1.3 point difference. You might want to take Dignitas in this case, especially if you think Dig will be taken by one of your opponents before the turn comes back to you. Lastly, let's quickly address the flex spot because this may cause some confusion for new players. This spot can be filled by any position, so we just want the highest scoring player here. This can be your argument for drafting 2 players of the same role in the early rounds since you can insert the extra player (or team) into the flex. Hopefully, these tips were helpful in constructing your draft strategy as you build out your own dynasty. I wish you the best of luck in crushing your opposition.

6 Comments

GoldenEevee5/16/2014, 12:09:49 AM2 votes

Anyone Want To join my League for The Lcs Fantasy.... Also Btw I don't think theres much Strategy to Drafing People..... Just choose who you want. Ahri

KnightFalling5/16/2014, 5:51:43 PM1 votes

Team Analysis

Your examination of the teams is THE most important part of your fantasy draft. This is not because of the importance of team points (which are still important) but because a team’s performance overall in the league will drastically impact its players ability to perform. The perfect example is Creaton who was leading the league in kills until he broke his hand in the EU LCS last year but when the new season came around he was unable to produce because of team issues. Keep these things in mind as you draft individual positions. The NALCS has always been top heavy but this year it seems like it is even more so with 4-6 teams that will be world class. The EULCS is always a mess it seems as this year it is differing shades of gray where any team can beat any other on any given day.

Cloud 9 - (9) The only reason Cloud 9 is not a 10 is because of the health issues of Hai. It worries me slightly that he might not be able to perform early. That is the one and only issue however as Cloud 9 has been a machine crushing the NALCS. It has set records for wins and shown complete domination. Despite the NALCS having what may be the strongest top end teams in the league I expect them to still be near or at the top all year.

Fnatic – (8) Fnatic the kings of your Europe have looked vulnerable. Soaz who was once the undisputed king of the top lane has not seemed as dominant. Xpeke used to win lane on a regular basis but now seems to go even as often as not. One thing to keep in mind however is Fnatic are always innovating and are the most veteran team in EU now that Gambit has lost Alex Ich. When they win, they win big and stat stuff. When they lose it tends to be close. I have them as my top European pick for this reason.

SK – (8) If Fnatic is 1 in Europe then SK is 1A. They won the spring split and came up just short of Fnatic in the playoffs. They have strong lanes good rotations and just seem to find ways to win. They are consistent if not flashy.

Alliance – (7) Hailed as a super team Alliance went through growing pains but emerged as a real threat for playoffs. Alliance has solid players all around but Froggen seems to be the only world class standout. Alliance as time goes on may find its synergy and rival teams that have been together longer but until they do they remain third on my list of EU teams.

TSM – (7) TSM went through major changes and on the outside it seems that it will improve the team. History in fact shows that TSM is very good about improving their team when they make changes. Any team has growing pains however and TSM I believe will have major ones. One of the biggest may be shot calling as two major voices have now left the team. You also have to wonder is gleelglarbu is going to transition to the stage well. That being said this squad may have picked off two of the best players at Europe and has always consistently been top three. DO NOT OVERPICK THEM HOWEVER. TSM has a massive fan base and many will pick them far too early. If they fall to you pick them but pick with your head not your heart.

CLG – (7) Could this be the year the CLG breaks through and overcomes their TSM jinx? CLG just might on the strength of their new imports Dexter and Seraph. The difference between having Dexter and not was easily seen as CLG was far more cohesive. The same CLG showed its face in the playoffs again though as TSM managed to pull victory out of CLG’s hands in game 2 and romp them in game 3 of playoffs. Could Seraph be the missing link? Say Korean and most Leaguers quake in their boots but who knows if it will be a good fit? TSM has questions but CLG has just as many but both are looking very good.

Roccat – (7) Roccat was an absolute force in EU but as time went on their Cloud 9 like ability to team fight their way out of any situation seemed to lessen and teams caught up to the

GoldenEevee5/19/2014, 6:30:13 PM1 votes

I will Send lInk when its back up :D