IEM Katowice Power Rankings
Welcome to the 2016 IEM Katowice edition of Power Rankings. It’s one of those magical times of the year when teams from around the world get together and duke it out on the international stage.
We have the pleasure of trying to predict how it will all end up. Nothing is set in stone -- international tournaments have shown us this time and time again. As most of the teams playing at IEM are going through questionable spells of form, the results are anyone's guess. Though if we had to give it a shot, it would probably look something like this...
IEM Katowice Power Rankings
Note: Due to different regions playing in different formats, each team is followed with their game win percentage, as opposed to match win results.
- S Tier: SKTelecom T1 (57.14%)
- A Tier: Counter Logic Gaming (71.43%)
- B Tier: Royal Never Give Up (72.22%)
- C Tier: ESC Ever (83.33%) | Qiao Gu Reapers (82.35%)
- D Tier: Fnatic (57.14%) | Origen (50%) | TSM (57.14%)
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S Tier: SKTelecom T1
If you’re coming into IEM Katowice expecting a World Championship performance from SKTelecom T1, now would be a good time to curb your expectations. The current SKT is a shell of the team that rampaged through the 2015 World Championship. Jungler Bengi seems to have reverted to his 2014 self and his substitute Blank isn’t much more inspiring. Top laner Duke oscillates between MaRin-esq lane pressure and aimless split pushing.
Despite all this SKT T1 are still the favorites to win IEM.
They have a significant advantage over other teams as far as their laners are concerned. Duke, Faker, and Bang are so far ahead of the competition at Katowice that standard lane assignments are essentially a non-option for their opponents. They have proven time and time again that you can never rule out the Faker factor when it comes to international competition.
So yes, you shouldn’t expect a World Championship performance from SKT T1. But that doesn't mean they won't come out at IEM and crush their opposition with the sheer talent they have in their lanes -- including the best player in the history of the game.
-- Written by Alex Manisier
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A Tier: Counter Logic Gaming
Well, I bet you didn't expect to see CLG alone in A tier. Yet, here they are, entering IEM Katowice as the most consistent team in the West. They've recently been on a fantastic run of form -- but if they want it to continue they're going to have to tackle the behemoth that is SKT in the Group Stage.
While SKT has undoubtedly struggled so far this split, their talent pool dwarfs the competition. I bring this up because it accentuates why we can't put CLG in the same tier as SKT. CLG's greatest weakness comes from their rookies. Stixxay and Huhi have both shown potential to grow, but might not be ready to shine on the international stage.
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Ah, but this is a team game, and there probably isn't a team at Katowice that has shown better teamwork than CLG. The team's shot calling, macro play, rotations, and objective control are the reasons we rate CLG above the other six teams at Katowice.
Darshan and Aphromoo are in incredible form and Xmithie's resurgence has given CLG another arrow in their quiver. Their first game vs. SKT will be tough, though the results will largely depend on how big Huhi and Stixxay show up to the tournament. If they want to beat SKT they'll need to have every single player on the team firing on all cylinders.
-- Written by Carlos"h0tsawce" Bravo
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B Tier: Royal Never Give Up
Formally known as Star Horn Royal Club, the two time Worlds Finalists have surged again, representing their region on the international stage for the first time since 2014. No longer helmed by UZI, RNG run a 10 man roster with subs in every position. They will start the unlikely -- but potent -- assembly of Samsung White veterans, Mata and Looper, alongside young Chinese talent from King and Gamtee.
Their style is aggressive, relying on the tag-team of Mata and Chinese Jungler Mlxg to set deep forward vision in enemy territory as a point of skirmish. This deep vision not only provides RNG the necessary information to calculate all-ins, but -- more importantly -- act as a moveable objective for the team to challenge and assert their gold leads in collapsing fights.
RNG consistently beat LPL teams to the punch, picking lane dominant champions and pressuring their waves forward to keep their opponents locked down while Mlxg runs amok. It’s reminiscent of Samsung White, constantly moving vision to high impact points on the map with an emphasis on denial and smaller skirmishes rather than full-blown 5v5 scenarios.
The primary fault of RNG is in their uncurbed aggression. Their style, though oppressive to watch when executed, is unchanging despite circumstances. Whether 10K gold ahead or behind, RNG will never stop invading and have few practiced options to play from behind successfully.
Despite their most recent victory over The QG Reapers, RNG go into IEM as underdogs. With less experience on the current patch than the majority of teams attending, and no expectations of an international showing, RNG sit neatly in B Tier.
-- Written by Indiana "Froskurinn" Black
C Tier: ESC Ever | The Qiao Gu Reapers
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ESC Ever
For much of 2015, ESC Ever were a regular Challenger team -- full of promising talent (especially mid laner Athena), but lacking any sort of real leadership or structure to help them break into Champions.
Things changed in September when Ever rebuilt, bringing in KT Rolster jungle sub Ares and a relatively unknown bot lane by the name of LokeN and Key. From that point onwards, they drew a lot of attention in the amateur scene as they rampaged their way to the KeSPA Cup.
But they didn’t stop there.
Coming in hot against top-tier KeSPA teams still sleepy from the postseason, Ever crushed Challengers and LCK veterans alike to qualify for IEM Cologne. Their teamplay was just as good as any top team, and they even had some star power in Key’s magnificent support play.
Against two incredibly hungry teams with little international experience in H2k and QG Reapers, Ever played with the brilliance of a top-level Korean team coupled with all the enthusiasm of a rookie team that hadn’t even qualified for the LCK. The Challenger team closed out the tournament with a 5-3 record, and stood above the best of China and Korea.
Still, Ever remain a giant question mark at IEM. They lost Athena to Edward Gaming, replacing him with a Solo Queue player named Tempt. Key is only just returning to competitive play after he voluntarily benched himself in preemptive penance for Elo boosting allegations.
Here’s what we can tell you about Ever -- right now, they’re an incomplete team. They’re still getting back into the swing of things, and at times feel lethargic. They haven’t developed their strategies much beyond ‘fight when Teleports are up’, and are still prone to drafting errors. If they can find some of their former fire then be prepared for an upset -- if not, they are looking like a solid C tier team.
-- Written by Alex Manisier
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The Qiao Gu Reapers
Coming off the success of their IEM Cologne appearance, QG entered the 2016 LPL season in a dominant fashion. While other top contenders EDG and LGD floundered (or sunk), QG went undefeated for four weeks. But despite their superior record to sister LPL representative RNG, it was Royal that would undo QG in a quick 2-0 blowout, sending the team into IEM Katowice with their first defeat.
QG are hailed as the “Kings of Teamfighting” in the LPL, often carelessly throwing away early leads on the confidence of their 5v5 ability; which aptly describes how RNG were able to dismantle the team. Skirmishing early, QG ran headfirst into certain defeat by fighting off power-spikes and had their eagerness punished.
Where QG thrive will always be in the 5v5, and nothing short of a 10K gold lead can prepare teams for their synergy in tight corridors. Their use of target selection, flank coordination, and downright miracle mechanics make QG an extreme threat late game. That said, any macro proficient team will find ease beating QG around the map, and should use the Rift to amass global gold leads before taking on the reapers head-to-head.
Because of these obvious flaws and one-dimensional win conditions, QG sit firmly in C tier.
-- Written by Indiana "Froskurinn" Black
D Tier: Fnatic | Origen | TSM
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Fnatic
It's hard to pinpoint the one exact weakness in Fnatic's lineup. The players are, for the most part, mechanically sound -- it's not like Febiven or Rekkles have become shadows of their former selves. But there's a reason why last year's Worlds Semifinalists are now rated so low. The magic that arguably propelled them through 2015 up and left them behind for the sunnier shores of Los Angeles and the NA LCS.
Gamsu and Spirit are no Huni or Reignover. They've done nothing so far to emulate or parallel the gung-ho of their predecessors. In particular, Spirit is the exact opposite of Reignover's supportive gank-heavy style. Fnatic's new jungler leads the EU LCS junglers in farm-per-minute averages, meaning he's focusing less on setting up his laners in favor of making himself more powerful.
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That doesn't work so well for Febiven or Rekkles, who had gotten used to working with a margin of safety provided by tanky and disruptive frontliners. Now they are left to fight a third party for gold access. It makes for a team that's really good at crushing mistakes, as a single fight can send three different carries snowballing (as G2 found out firsthand). But, it makes for a highly uncoordinated early game that's easily exploited by more coordinated teams.
Take CLG for example -- half of what has made them so terrifying this Split has been Xmithie setting up Darshan's split push. His team sets up the environment for him to find those gaps to slip through.
So far, nothing like that has been found among Fnatic's five, which is why they're placed in the D tier.
-- Written by James "Obscurica" Chen
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Origen
Origen's fall from grace is inexplicable. Unlike Fnatic, they only made one major change to their roster, swapping out team captain xPeke for former Unicorns of Love ace PowerofEvil. On paper, it’s a move that should have worked just fine. PowerofEvil had been a major linchpin for UOL's dark horse success last season, and the aggression he brought to his prior team should have been complimentary to Origen’s lineup.
So far it hasn’t worked out. Without xPeke's leadership, Origen look like they’re running purely on instinct. Top laner sOAZ can go from a 1-8-1 camp-fest on Quinn to a devastatingly effective 8-0-9 dunking derby on the same champion. And though PowerofEvil might lack xPeke's intangible leadership capabilities, he's at least holding up his end of the damage -- which rather neatly explains the one strategic facet that Origen's got nailed down.
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When it comes to team fighting and skirmishes around Dragon or Baron, Origen can put up a fight. It actually seems to be the only place where they can put up a fight -- exploiting moment-to-moment positioning mistakes by the enemy team. It's a tactic that's worked especially well with sOAZ on highly mobile carry top laners like Quinn and Fiora.
Relying on this, however, isn’t exactly suited to the international stage. Not that international teams don't make exploitable mistakes, but Origen's bag of tricks has too limited a scope. The team's lack of coordination will mean macro wizards will run laps around them. If they’re going to find an advantage internationally they’re going to need to to find the synergy that they’ve lacked this Split, and that's why they're in the D tier.
-- Written by James "Obscurica" Chen
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TSM
TSM are coming into IEM Katowice at a low point in their current NA LCS split. While they boast one of the best rosters in the West, the team hasn't shown the synergy to live up to its sheer weight of talent.
While many of the teams entering IEM Katowice have shown struggles of their own, none have been as apparent TSM's. The team's macro play is its achilles heel. Their coordination has been poor, namely when it comes to objective control (an issue dating back to last season), lane swapping, and deciding when to fight or trade objectives.
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Nevertheless, it's not all bad news for TSM. They still do have an incredibly talented roster -- it's tough to think of a team at Katowice that has better individual talent position by position. Bjergsen is yet to play his renowned assassins, and with LeBlanc coming back into the meta, this could be a chance for him to shine. Doublelift still boasts a mechanical prowess many ADCs can only dream of. But, truth be told, if anything pulls them through IEM it will be Hauntzer's consistency. If he can continue to perform well and the rest of the team can rally together around him, there could be one hell of an upset on the way.
-- Written by Carlos"h0tsawce" Bravo
Which region do you think is the strongest, and who do you think will walk away as the winners of IEM Katowice? Tell us what you think on Twitter or in the comments below!
Photos courtesy of ESL and Inven.